劳动力迁移对俄罗斯地区人力资本和GRP的影响

IF 1.5 4区 社会学 Q2 DEMOGRAPHY Population Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI:10.19181/population.2022.25.4.14
E. Tukhtarova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文分析了外部劳动力迁移对人力资本和GRP的影响,间接反映了俄罗斯地区的劳动力需求。研究结果显示了俄罗斯地区出现的矛盾:对熟练劳动力的需求和劳动力资源的短缺,而低技能劳动力的迁移又掩盖了这一矛盾。因此,一种负面趋势正在发展——在对熟练劳动力和低技能劳动力形成两种平行需求的地区,劳动力市场的细分。该研究记录了移民工人数量与GRP之间的正相关关系,这表明对外国劳动力的需求是稳定的。与此同时,俄罗斯地区农民工对人力资本的影响也发生了重大变化,并非所有地区都得到了外国劳动力的积极贡献。此外,研究结果不仅证实了劳动力迁移对人力资本的重要作用,还证实了这样一种假设,即劳动力迁移在俄罗斯地区发展的困难或关键时刻通过增强其质量特征对人力资本产生积极影响,因此劳动力迁移的需求将在中期内持续。从本质上讲,劳动力迁移、人力资本和GRP是沟通的容器。结论是低估了2014年对地区经济发展产生积极影响的自愿同胞安置计划。有鉴于此,作者认为,该计划需要进行认真的修订,以吸引熟练劳动力移民,并增加该国的人力潜力。
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Impact of labor migration on human capital and GRP of Russian regions
The article presents an analysis of the impact of external labor migration on human capital and GRP that indirectly reflects the labor demand in Russian regions. The results of the study showed the contradictions that have developed in the Russian regions: demand for skilled labor and shortage of labor resources, which is covered by low-skilled labor migration. As a result, a negative trend is developing — segmentation of labor markets in regions where two parallel demands for skilled and low-skilled labor are formed. The study recorded a positive relationship between the number of migrant workers and GRP, which indicates a steady demand for foreign labor force (FLF). Along with this, the impact of migrant workers on human capital in the Russian regions has undergone significant changes, and not all regions have received and receive a positive contribution from foreign labor force. Also, the results of the study confirmed not only the important role of labor migration for human capital, but also confirmed the hypothesis that labor migration has a positive impact on human capital by enhancing its qualitative characteristics in difficult or critical moments of the development of Russian regions, and therefore the demand for labor migration will continue in the medium term. In essence, labor migration, human capital and GRP are communicating vessels. The conclusion is made about underestimation of the program of voluntary compatriots' resettlement, which had a positive effect on the development of regional economies in 2014. In view of this, the author believes that the program needs a serious revision in order to attract skilled labor migration and increase the human potential of the country.
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来源期刊
Population
Population DEMOGRAPHY-
CiteScore
2.00
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