宏观经济因素对南亚可再生能源产出的影响分析

I. Khan, Darshita Fulara Gunwant
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引用次数: 1

摘要

南亚是世界上发展最快的地区之一。随着经济的快速发展,该地区的能源需求迅速增长。由于该地区主要依赖不可再生能源,并面临污染、能源进口成本高、外汇储备枯竭等问题,因此正在寻找有助于提高该地区可再生能源发电的因素。因此,考虑到这些问题,本文旨在研究宏观经济因素对南亚可再生能源产量提高的影响。设计/方法/方法采用自回归分布滞后方法,通过使用1990年至2021年的时间序列数据,研究了汇款流入、识字率、能源进口、政府支出和城市人口增长对南亚可再生能源产出的长期影响。研究结果表明,汇款流入对可再生电力产出的长期影响为负且不显著。研究发现,能源进口、政府支出和城市人口增长对可再生电力产出具有显著的负向影响,而识字率具有显著的正向影响。独创性/价值考虑到可再生能源的重要性,这是为数不多的包括可能影响该区域可再生能源产出的关键宏观经济变量的研究之一。研究结果表明,高文化水平对促进可再生能源产出至关重要,而政府和政策制定者应优先减少能源进口,并确保政府在可再生能源产出上的支出得到合理利用。南盟是该区域的理事机构,在为该区域制定可再生能源产出政策时也从这项研究中受益。
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An impact analysis of macroeconomic factors on South Asia’s renewable energy output
Purpose South Asia is one of the fastest-growing regions in the world. With its fast economic development, the energy requirement for the region has rapidly grown. As the region relies mainly on nonrenewable energy sources and is suffering from issues like pollution, the high cost of energy imports, depleting foreign reserves, etc. it is searching for those factors that can help enhance the renewable energy generation for the region. Thus, taking these issues into consideration, this paper aims to investigate the impact of macroeconomic factors that can contribute to the enhancement of renewable energy output in South Asia. Design/methodology/approach An autoregressive distributed lag methodology has been applied to examine the long-term effects of remittance inflows, literacy rate, energy imports, government expenditures and urban population growth on the renewable energy output of South Asia by using time series data from 1990 to 2021. Findings The findings indicated that remittance inflows have a negative and insignificant long-term effect on renewable electricity output. While it was discovered that energy imports, government spending and urban population growth have negative but significant effects on renewable electricity output, literacy rates have positive and significant effects. Originality/value Considering the importance of renewable energy, this is one of the few studies that has included critical macroeconomic variables that can affect renewable energy output for the region. The findings contribute to the body of knowledge that a high literacy level is crucial for promoting renewable energy output, while governments and policymakers should prioritize reducing energy imports and ensuring that government expenditures on renewable energy output are properly used. SAARC, the governing body of the region, also benefits from this study while devising the renewable energy output policies for the region.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.80
自引率
22.60%
发文量
63
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Energy Sector Management aims to facilitate dissemination of research on issues relating to supply management (covering the entire supply chain of resource finding, extraction, production, treatment, conversion, transportation, distribution and retail supply), demand and usage management, waste management, customer and other stakeholder management, and solutions thereto. The journal covers all forms of energy (non-renewable and renewable), forms of supply (centralised or decentralised), ownership patterns (public or private, cooperative, joint, or any other), market structures (formal, informal, integrated, disintegrated, national, international, local, etc.) and degress of commoditisation (e.g. internationally traded, regionally traded, non-traded, etc.). The journal aims to cover a wide range of subjects relevant to the management of the energy sector, including but not limited to: Management of scarce resources (economic, financial, human and natural), projects, activities and concerns (e.g. regulatory, social and environmental aspects), technologies and knowledge Business strategy, policy and planning as well as decision support systems for energy sector management Business organisation, structure and environment, and changes thereto Globalisation and multi-cultural management Management of innovation, change and transition.
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