天然气工业——国际竞争力的一个因素

S. Lavrov, Alexander G. Simonov
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引用次数: 1

摘要

这是一个系列文章的第一篇,专门讨论全球主要大国在能源领域的经济和地缘政治竞争的综合问题。它致力于世界经济和俄罗斯经济环境的一些热门问题。对世界能源经济的长期发展趋势进行了系统的分析。为此,推导出国际供应链和能源采购与中美、俄美、欧制裁交换引发的国际经济关系的革命性变化之间的因果关系。从中长期来看,发达的天然气工业将对确保世界主要大国的全球能源领导地位起决定性作用。对欧洲天然气市场的进一步发展进行了情景分析。分析了天然气工业发展对俄罗斯经济环境的外部影响。在这一框架下,俄罗斯政府可以采取最有效的行动。
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Gas industry - a factor of international competitiveness
This is the first article of a series, devoted to a comprehensive problem of economic and geopolitical rivalry of the leading global powers in energy sector. It is dedicated to a number of topical issues of world economy and Russian economic environment. A systematic analysis of long-term world energy economy development trends is performed. For this purpose, a cause-and-effect relationship between international supply chains and energy procurement, on one hand, and revolutionary changes of international economic relations, caused by USA - China and Russia - USA, EU sanctions exchange, on the other, is derived. It is concluded that a developed gas industry is to play a decisive role in insuring global energy leadership of the major global powers on a mid- and long-term basis. A scenario analysis of further European gas market developments is provided. The external effects of developing gas industry are contemplated for Russian economic environment. In this framework most efficient options of action by Russian state are observed.
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来源期刊
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0.00%
发文量
34
审稿时长
12 weeks
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