尼日利亚人力资本形成与经济发展的最新问题

H. Abdullahi, Gylych Jelilov, Selman Tetik
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摘要

尼日利亚严重低估了人力资本形成在经济增长和发展中的作用。目前的研究试图利用尼日利亚的实际人均国内生产总值、政府卫生支出、政府教育支出和小学入学率来深入了解人力资本形成的重要性。它使用了1980-2017年的时间序列数据,并采用了OLS回归技术、Johanssen协整和Granger因果关系检验。所使用的各种方法的结果肯定了人力资本形成对实现尼日利亚经济增长和发展的重要性。普通最小二乘回归结果显示,政府在卫生、教育方面的资本支出与小学入学率呈正相关。Johanssen协整结果在迹和最大特征值检验中都显示了协整向量。格兰杰因果检验的结果表明,小学入学率和实际GDP之间是双向的,实际GDP和政府在卫生和教育方面的资本支出之间是单向的。该研究强烈建议将更多的预算资本分配给卫生和教育。该研究进一步提出了确保小学入学率提高的战略。
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Recent Issues on Human Capital Formation and Development of the Nigerian Economy
The role of human capital formation in economic growth and development has been highly underestimated in Nigeria. The study at this moment attempts to create an insight into the importance of human capital formation using real GDP per capita, government expenditure on health, government expenditure on education and primary school enrolment in the case of Nigeria. It used time series data from 1980 to 2017 and employed OLS regression technique, Johanssen cointegration and Granger causality test. The results from the various methods utilized affirmed the importance of human capital formation towards actualizing economic growth and development in Nigeria. The ordinary least square regression result showed a positive relationship between Government capital expenditure on health, Education and primary school enrolment. The Johanssen cointegration result showed cointegrating vectors in both the trace and maximum Eigenvalue test. The results from the Granger causality test indicated a bi-directional between primary school enrolment and Real GDP, a Uni-directional relationship between real GDP and government capital expenditure on health and education. The study strongly recommends a more budgetary capital allocation to health and education. The study went further to suggest strategies that would ensure the increase in primary school enrolment.
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