全球市场天然气价格背后的驱动力

IF 2.2 4区 地球科学 Q2 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Acta Montanistica Slovaca Pub Date : 2023-06-12 DOI:10.46544/ams.v28i1.12
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引用次数: 0

摘要

天然气是一种化石燃料,属于不可再生的重要能源。尽管与石油相反,它的储量充足,但我们预计天然气开采将达到峰值,并很快逐渐减少到零。天然气价格的数据为我们利用多层感知器网络进行相关分析和时间序列回归的研究提供了基础。结果证明,政府的决定对全球天然气趋势没有可衡量的影响。该研究预测,到2023年,天然气价格将经历持续数年的定期周期,因此天然气价值将高度变化。首先,课程让价格飙升,然后又让它跌回原价。其他促成因素包括通过的立法、有关商品的价格、天气变化、捷克克朗汇率和国外局势。俄罗斯和乌克兰之间的战争就是通货膨胀的一个例子。
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Driving Forces Behind Gas Price in Global Markets
Gas is a fossil fuel belonging to non-renewable and essential energy sources. Although its reserves are, contrary to oil, sufficient, we expect the gas extraction to peak and gradually dwindle to nothing soon. The figures on natural gas prices gave us a breeding ground for research based on correlation analysis and time series regression using multilayer perceptron networks. The outcomes proved no measurable effect of government decisions on the global gas trends. The study foresaw that natural gas value will be highly variable through 2023 since gas rates go through regular cycles lasting several years. First, the course sends the price soaring and then lets it fall to its original value. Other contributory factors involve adopted legislation, prices of related commodities, weather changes, the Czech Crown exchange rate and the situation abroad. The war between Russia and Ukraine is one example of inflation.
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来源期刊
Acta Montanistica Slovaca
Acta Montanistica Slovaca 地学-地球科学综合
CiteScore
3.60
自引率
12.50%
发文量
60
审稿时长
30 weeks
期刊介绍: Acta Montanistica Slovaca publishes high quality articles on basic and applied research in the following fields: geology and geological survey; mining; Earth resources; underground engineering and geotechnics; mining mechanization, mining transport, deep hole drilling; ecotechnology and mineralurgy; process control, automation and applied informatics in raw materials extraction, utilization and processing; other similar fields. Acta Montanistica Slovaca is the only scientific journal of this kind in Central, Eastern and South Eastern Europe. The submitted manuscripts should contribute significantly to the international literature, even if the focus can be regional. Manuscripts should cite the extant and relevant international literature, should clearly state what the wider contribution is (e.g. a novel discovery, application of a new technique or methodology, application of an existing methodology to a new problem), and should discuss the importance of the work in the international context.
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