交易所交易金融资产评估现代方法的发展

Q4 Mathematics Philippine Statistician Pub Date : 2022-07-19 DOI:10.17762/msea.v71i3s.6
Andrey V. Koren, Tatiana E. Danilovskikh, Tatiana V. Ershova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

交易所交易金融资产公允价值的估计是现代金融科学的重要课题之一。然而,预测未来价格的方法的重要性在不断变化。本研究对基础分析方法和技术分析方法进行了比较分析,揭示了它们的优缺点。详细考虑了基本面分析的利润、收入、盈利能力和债务负担水平等特征,分析了它们对证券价格的影响程度。通过研究,得出了技术分析在短期和投资问题解决中的应用越来越狭隘的结论。预测基础分析作为主要评价方法的重要性将进一步下降。为了得到这些结论,我们使用了反映公司进入ipo时交易所交易资产动态的统计数据。获得的数据表明,企业的创新成分、市场份额和价格之间存在明显的相关性。同时,在其评估过程中,公司利润最终不再是企业的主要特征。此外,他们还研究了交易所交易资产评估公平性与量化宽松(QE)计划之间的关系。结论是,在软货币政策应用的情况下,需要提高预测价格。
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Development of Modern Approaches to Exchange-Traded Financial Asset Evaluation
Estimation of exchange-traded financial asset fair value is one of the most important tasks in modern financial science. However, the importance of methods for prediction of future prices is constantly changing. The study provides a comparative analysis of fundamental and technical analysis methods, reveals their advantages and disadvantages. Such characteristics of fundamental analysis as profit, income, profitability and the level of debt burden are considered in detail, the degree of their influence on the price of securities is analyzed. After the study, conclusions were drawn about the increasingly narrow use of technical analysis during short-term and investment problem solution. A prediction is given for a further decrease of fundamental analysis importance as the main method of assessment. To obtain these conclusions, we used statistical data reflecting the dynamics of exchange-traded assets when companies entered IPOs. The data obtained indicate a clear correlation between the innovation component of a business, market share and its price. At the same time, the company profit has finally ceased to be the main characteristic of the business during its assessment. Additionally, they studied the relationship between the fairness of exchange-traded asset evaluation and quantitative easing (QE) programs. Conclusions are made about the need to increase the forecast prices in the case of a soft monetary policy application.
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来源期刊
Philippine Statistician
Philippine Statistician Mathematics-Statistics and Probability
CiteScore
0.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
92
期刊介绍: The Journal aims to provide a media for the dissemination of research by statisticians and researchers using statistical method in resolving their research problems. While a broad spectrum of topics will be entertained, those with original contribution to the statistical science or those that illustrates novel applications of statistics in solving real-life problems will be prioritized. The scope includes, but is not limited to the following topics:  Official Statistics  Computational Statistics  Simulation Studies  Mathematical Statistics  Survey Sampling  Statistics Education  Time Series Analysis  Biostatistics  Nonparametric Methods  Experimental Designs and Analysis  Econometric Theory and Applications  Other Applications
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