俄罗斯、乌克兰和西方:明智的经济制裁有效吗?

IF 0.3 Q2 HISTORY Soviet and Post Soviet Review Pub Date : 2023-05-15 DOI:10.30965/18763324-bja10082
T. Kubín
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引用次数: 1

摘要

2022年2月24日,经过几个月的准备,俄罗斯对乌克兰发动了全面战争。对欧盟和北约国家来说,俄罗斯对乌克兰的侵略除其他外,意味着其安全的重大变化。但俄罗斯对乌克兰的战争自2014年以来一直在进行。作为回应,欧盟、美国和其他西方国家于2014年对俄罗斯实施了经济制裁。研究的主题主要是全面(一般)制裁。另一种类型的经济制裁——有针对性的(聪明的)制裁——相对较新,因此对它们的研究也相对较少。本文的主要目的是调查明智(有针对性)制裁对五家银行的影响:俄罗斯联邦储蓄银行、VTB银行、俄罗斯天然气工业银行、俄罗斯经济银行(VEB)、俄罗斯国家石油公司和俄罗斯石油公司。这项研究是在分析说明莫斯科交易所上市股票的财务状况和价格变化的基本指标的基础上进行的。主要发现是,制裁的效果相对较弱,时间有限;2015-2017年,在接受调查的八家公司中,只有一部分公司的财务状况明显恶化,但后来它们的状况显著改善,2018-2019年的情况明显好于制裁实施前。
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Russia, Ukraine, and the West: Are Smart Economic Sanctions Effective?
February 24, 2022, after several months of preparation, Russia launched a full-scale war against Ukraine. For the EU and NATO states, Russia’s aggression against Ukraine means, inter alia, a major change for their security. But Russia’s war against Ukraine has been going on since 2014. In reaction, the EU, the US, and other Western states imposed economic sanctions on Russia in 2014. The subject of research is primarily comprehensive (general) sanctions. Another type of economic sanctions—targeted (smart) sanctions—are relatively new, so there is also relatively little research devoted to them. The main purpose of the article is to investigate the impact of smart (targeted) sanctions on five banks: Sberbank, VTB Bank, Gazprombank, Vnesheconombank (VEB), Rosselkhozbank, and three oil companies: Rosneft, Transneft and Gazpromneft. The study has been conducted on the basis of the analysis of the basic indicators illustrating the financial situation and changes in the prices of shares listed on the Moscow Exchange. The main finding is that the effects of sanctions are relatively weak and limited in time; in 2015–2017, a deterioration in the financial situation of only some of the eight corporations surveyed was noticeable, but later their situation improved significantly and in 2018–2019 it was clearly better than before the sanctions were imposed.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.80
自引率
33.30%
发文量
18
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