探索干旱与农村向城市流动之间的关系——印度浦那的混合方法

IF 3.3 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Frontiers in Climate Pub Date : 2023-05-25 DOI:10.3389/fclim.2023.1168584
Raphael Karutz, S. Kabisch
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引用次数: 0

摘要

全球南方国家的城市化与人口的内部流动和气候变化的影响有着错综复杂的联系。在印度,不断变化的降水模式通过干旱的频率和严重程度增加,对农村生计造成压力,促进了农村向城市的流动。然而,在目的地,关于新抵达者复杂的流动背景的资料不足。我们采用混合方法来调查印度浦那的流动模式,特别关注干旱的作用。结合家庭调查、深度访谈和地区层面的月度降水数据,我们使用描述性统计和定性内容分析来显示起源干旱与向浦那迁移之间的显著关系。受到特别影响的是最近抵达的人、来自农村和其他州的移民以及目前居住在非正规地区的人。干旱和人口流动决策之间的联系通常是间接的,隐藏在诸如农业工作岗位流失等经济条件背后。矛盾的是,在原籍国受到干旱影响的移民在目的地面临更大的洪水风险。然而,这种风险往往是为了在城市中获得更好的谋生机会而有意识地承担的。随着气候情景预测降水模式的变化越来越大,理解气候流动性与城市化之间的关系变得越来越重要,尤其是对普纳这样的目的地热点而言。
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Exploring the relationship between droughts and rural-to-urban mobility—a mixed methods approach for Pune, India
Urbanization in the global South is intricately linked with the internal mobility of people and the impacts of climate change. In India, changing precipitation patterns pose pressure on rural livelihoods through the increasing frequency and severity of droughts, contributing to rural-to-urban mobility. At destination, however, insufficient information is available on the complex mobility backgrounds of the new arrivals. We employ a mixed methods approach to investigate mobility patterns to Pune, India, with a special focus on the role of droughts. Combining a household survey with in-depth interviews and monthly precipitation data on district level, we use descriptive statistics and qualitative content analysis to show a significant relationship between drought at origin and mobility to Pune. Particularly affected are recent arrivals, migrants of rural origin and from other states, and those currently living in informal areas. The link between droughts and mobility decisions is usually indirect, hidden behind economic conditions such as the loss of agricultural jobs. Paradoxically, migrants affected by droughts at origin face increased flood risk at destination. This risk, however, is often consciously taken in favor of better livelihood opportunities in the city. With climate scenarios projecting increasingly variable precipitation patterns, understanding the climate-mobility-urbanization nexus gains importance, especially for destination hotspots like the city of Pune.
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来源期刊
Frontiers in Climate
Frontiers in Climate Environmental Science-Environmental Science (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
4.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
233
审稿时长
15 weeks
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