2011-16年伊朗各省出生预期寿命的估算

Mohammad Sasanipour
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:出生时的预期寿命是衡量特定时间点人群死亡率的有用指标。由于伊朗各省的死亡率数据不完整且覆盖范围不同,构建一个没有数据校正的生命表可能会产生误导性的结果。在这项研究中,在评估和校正死亡率数据后,估计了2011-16年期间国家和省级的预期寿命。方法:采用横断面分析法。2011年至2016年期间,从国家民事登记组织获得了按年龄和性别划分的死亡率数据(2051602例死亡),从伊朗统计中心获得了按性别和年龄划分的人口数据。在评估和更正了儿童和成人的死亡率数据后,通过寿命表技术,伊朗各省的出生预期寿命按性别计算。结果:2011-2016年期间,全国男性和女性的死亡登记率分别为93%和85%。此外,各省的这一覆盖范围在70%至98%之间。男性出生时的预期寿命为73.1岁,女性为76岁。伊斯法罕(女性77.9,男性74.8)的出生预期寿命最高,锡斯坦省和俾路支斯坦省的预期寿命最低(女性70.4,男性69.2)。结论:考虑到伊朗各省男性和女性的预期寿命存在重要差异,找出伊朗各省预期寿命差异的原因,最终可以提高国家一级的预期寿命。
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Estimating the Life Expectancy at Birth for Iranian Provinces during 2011-16
Background: Life expectancy at birth is a useful indicator of mortality across a population at a particular point in time. Due to the incomplete and different coverage of mortality data in the provinces of Iran, constructing a life table without data correction can have misleading results. In this study, after evaluating and correcting the mortality data, life expectancy at the national and provincial levels for the period 2011-16 has been estimated. Methods: This was a cross-sectional analysis. Regarding the period 2011 to 2016, mortality data were obtained by age and sex (2051602 deaths) from the National Organization for Civil Registration, and the population data were obtained by age and sex from the Statistics Center of Iran. After evaluating and correcting the mortality data regarding children and adults, through the life table technique, life expectancy at birth for the provinces Iran was calculated by sex. Results: The death registration regarding men and women, during 2011-2016, in the national level was 93% and 85% respectively. Moreover, the range of this coverage for the provinces has been between 70% and 98%. The life expectancy at birth for men was 73.1, and for women it was 76 years. Isfahan (77.9 for females and 74.8 for males) had the highest level of life expectancy at birth, and the lowest level was in Sistan and Baluchestan province (70.4 for females and 69.2 for males). Conclusion: Considering that there are important differences between the life expectancy of men and women in the provinces of Iran, identifying the causes of provincial differences in regarding life expectancy in the provinces of Iran can ultimately lead to improved life expectancy at the national level.
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