基于DELPHI技术的旅游定性预测场景构建

IF 1 Q3 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM Cuadernos de Turismo Pub Date : 2020-12-16 DOI:10.6018/TURISMO.451911
Claudete Oliveira Moreira, Norberto Santos
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引用次数: 6

摘要

关于旅游目的地规划和管理的科学文献很少关注未来分析和情景构建。本文强调了地域前瞻战略和情景构建在旅游目的地规划和管理中的重要性,展示了如何在方法上将德尔菲技术与情景构建练习相结合。研究结果表明,旅游系统内的利益相关者提供的知识有利于旅游目的地的规划和管理。
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TOURISM QUALITATIVE FORECASTING SCENARIO BUILDING THROUGH THE DELPHI TECHNIQUE
Futures analyses and scenario-building exercises have received scant attention from scientific literature on the planning and management of tourist destinations. This article emphasizes the importance of a territorial foresight strategy and scenario building in the planning and management of tourist destinations, demonstrating how it is methodologically possible to combine the Delphi technique with a scenario-building exercise. The findings suggest that the knowledge provided by stakeholders operating within the tourism system can benefit the planning and management of tourist destinations.
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来源期刊
Cuadernos de Turismo
Cuadernos de Turismo HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM-
CiteScore
1.00
自引率
12.50%
发文量
15
审稿时长
50 weeks
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