当地木材分布情景对当地经济波动效应的影响

IF 0.1 4区 农林科学 Q4 MATERIALS SCIENCE, PAPER & WOOD Mokuzai Gakkaishi Pub Date : 2019-10-25 DOI:10.2488/jwrs.65.226
Yuki Fuchigami, Takaaki Kuyama, Hirotaka Komata, K. Kojiro, Y. Furuta
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为了确定当地木材使用对当地目标地区的经济连锁反应,对行业间关系进行了投入产出分析,以计算九种分布情景的诱导生产值和诱导总增加值。我们的研究是通过使用投入产出表进行的,京都府是当地的目标地区。预计最终需求为813.2万日元。因此,在基于当地生产供当地消费的情况下(原木生产、木材制造和加工以及消费都发生在县内),经济连锁反应最大化,该情景下的诱导生产价值大约是未调整情景(代表京都府当前木材分布的情景)中的3.5倍。只有四种情况下,制造和加工场所被配置在县内,导致诱导生产价值的比率大于1。虽然在县外进行原木生产的情况下,造林和原木生产的产值几乎没有被诱导,但结果显示,在生产地点位于县内的情况中,造林和木材生产的诱导产值分别约为40万日元和100万日元。
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Influence of Distribution Scenario of Local Wood on the Economic Ripple Effect in the Local Region
In order to identify the economic ripple effect on a local target area from the use of local wood, an input-output analysis of interindustry relationships was performed to calculate induced production values and induced gross added values for nine distribution scenarios. Our study was conducted by using an input-output table with Kyoto prefecture as the local target area. Final demand was assumed to be 8.132 million yen. As a result, the economic ripple effect was maximized in a scenario based on local production for local consumption (log production, lumber manufacturing and processing, and consumption all taking place within the prefecture), and induced production value under this scenario was approximately 3.5 times greater than the value in an unadjusted scenario (a scenario that represents the current lumber distribution in Kyoto Prefecture). Only four scenarios in which sites of manufacturing and processing were configured to be within the prefecture resulted in a ratio of induced production value greater than 1. While the production value was barely induced for silviculture and log production in scenarios in which log production occurs outside of the prefecture, the results show an induced production value of approximately 0.4 million yen and 1 million yen for silviculture and log production, respectively, in scenarios in which the production sites were located within the prefecture.
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来源期刊
Mokuzai Gakkaishi
Mokuzai Gakkaishi 工程技术-材料科学:纸与木材
自引率
0.00%
发文量
20
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊最新文献
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