衡量欧盟内部的积极老龄化:对经济发展的影响

E. Thalassinos, M. Cristea, G. Noja
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引用次数: 48

摘要

研究背景:老龄化现象破坏了劳动力市场的稳定和均衡,影响了各国的经济发展,也影响了65岁以上老年人的福利。文章目的:在此背景下,我们的研究旨在评估积极老龄化(通过积极老龄化指数- AAI衡量)与其他经济和劳动力市场证书相关的具体方式,将影响欧盟成员国的经济发展。方法:研究方法包括两个计量经济学程序,即(i)对欧盟28个国家进行聚类分析,根据积极老龄化的相似特征配置一致的群体(通过积极老龄化指数衡量)(ii)面板数据分析,分别应用于EU-15(旧)和EU-13(新)两个面板,依靠四种宏观计量模型(稳健回归、面板修正标准误差、空间滞后和空间误差),以检验AAI和其他经济和社会选定变量对经济发展的直接影响。该分析是通过获取欧盟委员会报告的AAI所有可用数据,对2010-2018年的时间间隔进行的。研究结果和附加价值:研究结果突出了欧盟国家之间的重要差异,这些差异需要重新思考积极老龄化人口的支持政策。因此,不断地重新思考政策、适当的战略、措施和工具,以积极支持老龄人口,成为使老年人成功地融入所有生活层面的关键因素。
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Measuring active ageing within the European Union: implications on economic development
Research background: The ageing phenomenon undermines the stability and equilibrium of the labour market and it affects the economic development of countries, as well as the welfare of older people aged over 65 years. Purpose of the article: Against this background, our research is conducted to assess the specific ways in which active ageing (measured through the active ageing index — AAI), correlated with other economic and labour market credentials, would impact the economic development of EU Member States. Methods: The research methodology consists of two econometric procedures, namely (i) cluster analysis performed on EU–28 countries to configure congruent groups according to similar features of the active ageing (measured through the Active Ageing Index — AAI) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) levels, respectively (ii) panel data analysis, applied distinctly on two panels, EU–15 (old) and EU–13 (new), relying on four macro-econometric models (robust regression, panel corrected standard errors, spatial lag and spatial error), in order to test the direct influences of AAI and other economic and social selected variables on economic development. The analysis is made for the 2010–2018 lapse of time, by capturing all the available data for the AAI as reported by the European Commission. Findings & Value added: The results highlight important dissimilarities between the EU countries that require a rethinking of policies for the active ageing population support. Thereby, constant policy rethinking, adequate strategies, measures and tools for the active ageing population support become outlier keystones that entail a successful integration of the older people within all life dimensions.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
9.20
自引率
3.50%
发文量
28
审稿时长
36 weeks
期刊介绍: Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy is a scientific journal dedicated to economics, which is the result of close cooperation between the Instytut Badań Gospodarczych/Institute of Economic Research (Poland) and Polish Economic Society and leading European universities. The journal constitutes a platform for exchange of views of the scientific community, as well as reflects the current status and trends of world science and economy. The journal especially welcome empirical articles making use of quantitative methods in: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics, International Economics, Financial Economics and Banking, Public Economics, Business Economics, Labor and Demographic Economics, Economic Development, and Technological Change, and Growth. Current most preferable topics and special issues: The economics of artificial intelligence: business potentials and risks; Digitalization and entrepreneurship in economics; Sustainable socio-economic development, environmental and ecological economics; Transition in the energy market (improving energy efficiency, alternative energy sources, renewable energy, energy security).
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