在2019年立陶宛总统选举中,谁投票给了谁?

Q4 Social Sciences Politologija Pub Date : 2020-05-05 DOI:10.15388/polit.2020.97.1
Mažvydas Jastramskis
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文调查了2019年立陶宛总统选举中的选民行为。尽管他们看起来是一级人物(公民选举享有相当大权力的行政人员),但近几十年来,立陶宛学术文献相当忽视了这一话题。在这篇文章中,我使用了最近一次总统选举后进行的选举后调查的数据,并调查了2019年总统选举第一轮和第二轮结果背后隐藏着什么样的选民和动机。结果表明,与总统选举相关的分歧(种族和苏联时代的评价)也会影响总统选举的选票选择。分析表明,与社会自由主义相关的意识形态分裂可能在立陶宛变得重要。最后,有追溯投票的迹象,因为对经济评价更好的选民更倾向于投票给执政联盟的总统候选人。然而,总体效果并不强烈。
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Who voted for Whom in the 2019 Lithuanian Presidential Elections?
This article investigates voter behavior in the 2019 Lithuanian presidential elections. Even though they appear as first-order (citizens elect an executive that enjoys considerable powers), Lithuanian academic literature has rather neglected this topic in the recent decades. In this article, I employ data from a post-electoral survey conducted after the most recent presidential elections and investigate what kinds of voters and motives were hiding beneath the results of the first and second round in the 2019 presidential elections. Results show that the cleavages that are relevant in the Seimas elections (ethnic and evaluations of Soviet times) also influence the vote choice in the presidential elections. Analysis shows that a ideological cleavage related to social liberalism may becoming important in Lithuania. Lastly, there are signs of retrospective voting, as the voters that evaluate the economy better were more inclined to vote for the presidential candidate of the governing coalition. However, the overall effect is not strong.
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来源期刊
Politologija
Politologija Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations
CiteScore
0.30
自引率
0.00%
发文量
19
审稿时长
12 weeks
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