GTAP-VA:全球价值链分析的集成工具

IF 2.2 Q2 ECONOMICS Journal of Global Economic Analysis Pub Date : 2018-12-25 DOI:10.21642/JGEA.030202AF
A. Antimiani, Ilaria Fusacchia, L. Salvatici
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引用次数: 12

摘要

全球价值链(GVCs)已经改变了全球范围内各种商品和服务的生产方式。需要新的贸易统计数据,以便通过按增值内容进行分解,根据原产/目的地部门/区域进行区分,对贸易流量进行更准确的分析。我们的方法在可计算一般均衡(CGE)模型中追踪贸易流动中嵌入的增加值,将其回溯到其起源或向前到其目的地。本文在全球贸易分析项目(GTAP)模型中引入了一个新模块(可随本文下载),并在一个有3个地区(美国、欧盟和世界其他地区)和3个部门(制造业、农业食品和服务业)的风格化场景中使用,其中模拟了欧盟和美国之间的自由贸易区。结果表明,新模型(GTAP-VA)为贸易政策分析做出了有益的贡献。
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GTAP-VA: An Integrated Tool for Global Value Chain Analysis
Global Value Chains (GVCs) have transformed production across a broad range of goods and services worldwide. New trade statistics are required in order to perform a more accurate analysis of trade flows through their decomposition in terms of value-added content, distinguished according to the sector/region of origin/destination. Our approach traces value added embedded in trade flows back to its origin or forward to its destination in a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model. A new module (available as a download with this paper) is introduced to the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model and used in a stylized scenario with 3 regions (the United States, the European Union and the Rest of the World) and 3 sectors (Manufactures, Agrifood and Services) where a free trade area between the European Union and the United States is simulated. Results show that the new version of the model (GTAP-VA) makes a useful contribution to trade policy analysis.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.60
自引率
12.00%
发文量
0
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