在SOFOG3D战役中评估改进的AROME配置用于雾预报。

IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Weather and Forecasting Pub Date : 2023-06-29 DOI:10.1175/waf-d-22-0215.1
Salomé Antoine, Rachel Honnert, Y. Seity, B. Vié, F. Burnet, P. Martinet
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文评估了一种新的专用于雾的AROME配置的雾预报,这得益于最近的现场活动SOuth westFOGs 3Dimensions (SOFOG3D)的观测结果。这种新的配置利用了升级的水平和垂直分辨率,2时刻微物理方案(LIMA)以及包含液滴沉积在植被上的参数化。在为期6个月的SOFOG3D现场活动中进行了一项统计研究,可以对新配置产生的雾预报质量进行评估,并将其与AROME当前的操作配置进行比较。主要发现如下:新配置预测了更多的雾事件,有更多的假警报,但提高了低顶高和低含水量的雾的数量,被参考配置低估了。第一层高度的重要性在于它能很好地反映离地面几米的高度,这对于提高雾的形成预报是至关重要的。在操作模拟中突出了早晨雾消散的延迟,并由于LIMA而略有减少。这种双力矩方案产生的雾更薄,含水量更少。与观测结果相比,这些更真实,而且更薄的雾也更容易消散太阳辐射。
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Evaluation of an improved AROME configuration for fog forecasts during the SOFOG3D campaign.
This paper evaluates fog forecasts of a new AROME configuration dedicated to fog thanks to observations of the recent field campaign SOuth westFOGs 3Dimensions (SOFOG3D). This new configuration takes advantage of an upgraded horizontal and vertical resolution, of a 2-moment microphysical scheme (LIMA) and of the inclusion of a parametrization of the droplets deposition onto vegetation. A statistical study conducted over the 6 months of the SOFOG3D field campaign allowed the evaluation of the quality of fog forecasts produced by this new configuration to compare it to the current operational configuration of AROME. The main findings are as follows: the new configuration forecast more fog events, with a few more false alarms, but improved the amount of fogs with low top height and with a low water content, underestimated by the reference configuration. The importance of the first level height for a good representation of the first few meters above the ground is crucial to improve the fog formation forecast. A delay of fog dissipation in the morning was highlighted in operational simulations and slightly reduced thanks to LIMA. This two-moment scheme produced thinner fogs, with less water content. These are more realistic, compared with observations, and thinner fog is also easier for solar radiation to dissipate.
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来源期刊
Weather and Forecasting
Weather and Forecasting 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
5.20
自引率
17.20%
发文量
131
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Weather and Forecasting (WAF) (ISSN: 0882-8156; eISSN: 1520-0434) publishes research that is relevant to operational forecasting. This includes papers on significant weather events, forecasting techniques, forecast verification, model parameterizations, data assimilation, model ensembles, statistical postprocessing techniques, the transfer of research results to the forecasting community, and the societal use and value of forecasts. The scope of WAF includes research relevant to forecast lead times ranging from short-term “nowcasts” through seasonal time scales out to approximately two years.
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