不确定性:市场细分分析中的解释性和认识性错误调查

IF 1.7 Q3 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM Journal of Convention & Event Tourism Pub Date : 2022-06-28 DOI:10.1080/15470148.2022.2089796
Nur Balqish Hassan, Noor Hazarina Hashim, K. H. Padil, N. Bakhary
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引用次数: 0

摘要

尽管聚类分析作为一种分割工具很受欢迎,但它的局限性仍然包括产生随机解和存在不确定性。本研究旨在协助营销人员了解音乐节观众的特点,以马来西亚的音乐活动为基础。本文利用人工神经网络(ANN)研究了聚类分析结果中不确定性的存在及其影响。确定了四个细分市场:报警器,技术滴答器,拔塞器和保险丝鼓风机。误差分析结果表明,不确定性可能导致不正确的预测。在学术上,通过添加人工神经网络训练和测试聚类分析生成的细分过程,突出了现有市场细分研究的局限性。从行业的角度来看,这种方法引入了一个重要的细分基础——技术细分——以进入有线一代。未来的研究可以扩展这一研究,并应用非概率神经网络来消除聚类分析中存在的误差。
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Uncertainties: An investigation of aleatory and epistemic errors in market segmentation analysis
Abstract Despite the popularity of cluster analysis as a segmentation tool, its limitations continue to include the production of random solutions and the existence of uncertainties. This study aims to assist marketers in understanding the characteristics of festival goers based on music events in Malaysia. The present study investigates the existence and effect of uncertainties produced in cluster analysis results by using an artificial neural network (ANN). Four market segments are identified: the alarm hitter, the technology ticker, the plug puller, and the fuse blower. Error analysis results reveal that uncertainties may cause incorrect predictions. Academically, the limitations in existing market segmentation studies are highlighted by adding the process of ANN training and testing the segments generated from the cluster analysis. From the industry perspective, this approach introduces an important segmentation basis—technographic segmentation—to tap into the wired generation. Future research may extend this study and apply a nonprobabilistic neural network to eliminate the existence of errors in cluster analysis.
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来源期刊
Journal of Convention & Event Tourism
Journal of Convention & Event Tourism HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM-
CiteScore
5.30
自引率
13.60%
发文量
15
期刊介绍: The Journal of Convention & Event Tourism provides multidisciplinary perspectives on conventions, exhibitions, and events. The journal provides global perspectives on this dynamic industry and encourages international submissions. All papers go through a double blind peer review process resulting in cutting-edge viewpoints on trends, innovations, and research regarding convention and event tourism. In addition, the Journal of Convention & Event Tourism includes conference and book reviews, critical reviews on major issues.
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