2021年气候科学的十大新见解:地平线扫描

IF 4.6 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Global Sustainability Pub Date : 2021-10-18 DOI:10.1017/sus.2021.25
Maria A. Martin, Olga Alcaraz Sendra, A. Bastos, N. Bauer, C. Bertram, Thorsten Blenckner, K. Bowen, P. Brando, T. Rudolph, M. Büchs, M. Bustamante, Deliang Chen, H. Cleugh, P. Dasgupta, F. Denton, J. Donges, F. Donkor, Hongbo Duan, C. Duarte, K. Ebi, Clea M. Edwards, A. Engel, E. Fisher, S. Fuss, J. Gaertner, A. Gettelman, C. Girardin, N. Golledge, Jessica F. Green, M. Grose, M. Hashizume, S. Hebden, H. Hepach, M. Hirota, H. Hsu, S. Kojima, S. Lele, S. Lorek, H. Lotze, H. Matthews, D. McCauley, Desta Mebratu, N. Mengis, R. Nolan, Erik Pihl, S. Rahmstorf, A. Redman, C. Reid, J. Rockström, J. Rogelj, M. Saunois, Lizzie Sayer, P. Schlosser, G. B. Sioen, J. Spangenberg, D. Stammer, Thomas Sterner, N. Stevens, K. Thonicke, H. Tian, R. Winkelmann, J. Woodcock
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引用次数: 19

摘要

非技术性总结我们总结了去年气候变化相关研究中一些最重要的发现。新的研究通过克服碳定价的政治障碍,考虑到非二氧化碳因素,精心设计实施需求侧和基于自然的解决方案,提高了我们对实现《巴黎协定》目标的剩余选择的理解,生态系统的复原力建设,以及认识到缓解气候变化的成本可以通过对人类和自然健康的益处来证明。如果我们不包括极端火灾的新维度和级联气候临界因素的前景,我们会考虑新的见解。技术摘要综合了气候研究中的10个主题,自2020年1月以来,这些主题取得了重大进展。这些见解是基于一个具有广泛学科范围的国际公开电话会议的意见。研究结果包括:(1)将全球变暖控制在1.5°C以下的选择;(2) 非二氧化碳因素对全球变暖的影响;(3) 气候变化导致的极端火灾的新层面;(4) 相互关联的气候临界因素面临的压力越来越大;(5) 气候正义的层面;(6) 阻碍碳定价有效性的政治挑战;(7) 需求方解决方案作为减缓气候变化的工具;(8) 基于自然的解决方案的潜力和注意事项;(9) 如何建设海洋生态系统的复原力;以及(10)减缓气候变化政策的成本可以通过对人类和自然健康的益处来证明。社交媒体摘要我们如何将全球变暖限制在1.5°C,为什么它至关重要?查看最新气候科学的亮点。
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Ten new insights in climate science 2021: a horizon scan
Non-technical summary We summarize some of the past year's most important findings within climate change-related research. New research has improved our understanding about the remaining options to achieve the Paris Agreement goals, through overcoming political barriers to carbon pricing, taking into account non-CO2 factors, a well-designed implementation of demand-side and nature-based solutions, resilience building of ecosystems and the recognition that climate change mitigation costs can be justified by benefits to the health of humans and nature alone. We consider new insights about what to expect if we fail to include a new dimension of fire extremes and the prospect of cascading climate tipping elements. Technical summary A synthesis is made of 10 topics within climate research, where there have been significant advances since January 2020. The insights are based on input from an international open call with broad disciplinary scope. Findings include: (1) the options to still keep global warming below 1.5 °C; (2) the impact of non-CO2 factors in global warming; (3) a new dimension of fire extremes forced by climate change; (4) the increasing pressure on interconnected climate tipping elements; (5) the dimensions of climate justice; (6) political challenges impeding the effectiveness of carbon pricing; (7) demand-side solutions as vehicles of climate mitigation; (8) the potentials and caveats of nature-based solutions; (9) how building resilience of marine ecosystems is possible; and (10) that the costs of climate change mitigation policies can be more than justified by the benefits to the health of humans and nature. Social media summary How do we limit global warming to 1.5 °C and why is it crucial? See highlights of latest climate science.
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来源期刊
Global Sustainability
Global Sustainability Environmental Science-Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
CiteScore
10.90
自引率
3.60%
发文量
19
审稿时长
17 weeks
期刊最新文献
Reassessing the need for carbon dioxide removal: moral implications of alternative climate target pathways Attitudes toward water resilience and potential for improvement Justice in benefitting from carbon removal Ten New Insights in Climate Science 2023/2024 From climate science to climate action
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