东爪哇热带流域SWAT模型的敏感性分析

M. W. Sujarwo, I. Indarto, M. Mandala
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引用次数: 0

摘要

布兰塔斯流域面积约为14,103平方公里,在为东爪哇约30%的人口供水方面发挥着重要作用。该流域的水资源管理已成为一个具有挑战性的问题。模拟过程和模拟结果是否符合现有的水文过程仍是一个问题。本研究旨在分析流域土壤水分评价工具(SWAT)模型的敏感参数。水文过程是按月和按年观测的。利用SWAT-CUP工具进行敏感性分析,得到18个敏感参数。灵敏度超过50%的参数有9个。4个与土层产流和水分运动有关。然后,与基流计算相关的8个参数。模拟结果表明,气候变化(特别是降雨)对产水量和沉积的影响很大。
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Sensitivity Analysis of SWAT Model in a Tropical Watershed, East Java
Brantas watershed has approximately 14,103 km2 and play an essential role in supplying water for about 30% of the East Java population. Management of water resources in this watershed has become a challenging issue. Conformity of modeling processes and result to mimic the existing hydrological processes is still in question. This study aims to analyze the sensitive parameters of the Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model on the watershed. Hydrological processes are observed both monthly and annually. Sensitivity analysis using the SWAT-CUP tool show 18 sensitive parameters. 9 parameters have more than a 50% sensitivity level. 4 are correlated to the soil layer’s runoff generation and water movement. Then, 8 parameters correlated to baseflow calculation. Simulation results illustrate the strong effect of climate change (especially rainfall) on water yield and sedimentation.
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来源期刊
Anuario do Instituto de Geociencias
Anuario do Instituto de Geociencias Social Sciences-Geography, Planning and Development
CiteScore
0.70
自引率
0.00%
发文量
45
审稿时长
28 weeks
期刊介绍: The Anuário do Instituto de Geociências (Anuário IGEO) is an official publication of the Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ – CCMN) with the objective to publish original scientific papers of broad interest in the field of Geology, Paleontology, Geography and Meteorology.
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