农产品价格与贫困:两者的联系有多紧密?

M. Arsyad
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引用次数: 1

摘要

农产品价格与贫困关系是两类亟待解决的问题。本文试图论证农产品价格(以下简称农产品价格)与贫困之间的密切关系。我们在分析过程中采用了相关性(中间步骤)和路径(最后步骤)。结果表明,首先,农业投入(同时要注意,价格是获得投入的关键因素)与贫困的关联度接近70%,表明农业投入可以很好地解释贫困。第二,获得农业推广和各种农业投入(和产出)的价格信息的频率越高,作物产量(广义上的农业部门)就会越高。这表明这两个变量(投入产出价格)也可以预期成为增加小农收入的重要工具,从而帮助他们生活在贫困线以上。农户家庭收入受到现行市场价格的强烈影响。农产品价格是收入计算的中间部分。很明显,农产品价格与我国农村扶贫有很强的联系。
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Prices of Agricultural Products and Poverty: How Strongly are the Two Linked?
Prices of agricultural products and poverty relationship are the two types of standing issue to solve. This paper tries to argue that price of agricultural products (hereafter, agricultural price) and poverty are strongly related. We employed Correlation (intermediate step) and Path (final step) in the analysis procedure. The results show that, first, the association degree between agricultural input (note as well, that price is crucial factor to get input) with poverty approaching 70%, indicating that agricultural input is good-fit in explaining poverty.  Second, the higher the frequency of getting agricultural extension, and price information for various inputs (and output) in agriculture, the higher the crop productions (agricultural sector, in broad sense) will be gained.  This indicates these two variables (inputs-outputs prices) can also be expected to be important instruments in increasing smallholders’ income and in turn help them living above poverty line.  Farmers household income is strongly affected by prevailing market price. Agricultural price is functioning as intermediate part of income calculation. It is clear that price of agricultural products has a strong linkage with rural poverty alleviation in the country.
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