选民如何从众多候选人中选择一个:支持对候选人选择的影响的联合分析

IF 1.8 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Political Research Exchange Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI:10.1080/2474736X.2021.1892456
Henrik Serup Christensen, Theodora Järvi, Mikko Mattila, Åsa Schoultz
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引用次数: 6

摘要

候选人背书会影响人们投票给候选人的可能性,因为它减少了人们在投票选择上所付出的努力。然而,来自不同来源的支持的影响仍未得到充分探讨。此外,据信,支持的效果会随着政治老练程度的不同而不同,因为老练程度较低的选民更依赖于这种捷径,但目前还不清楚这些差异在不同的来源是否相似。我们研究了来自三个不同来源的支持对候选人好感度的影响——家庭和亲密朋友、社交媒体网络和投票建议应用程序(VAAs)。我们在芬兰的一项调查中嵌入了一个基于选择的联合实验(n = 1021),在这个实验中,我们还检查了不同政治复杂性(政治兴趣、政治讨论的频率、内部政治效率、政党认同和上次议会选举中的投票)的影响差异。结果表明,来自VAAs和家人朋友的支持有积极的影响,而社交媒体网络则没有。无论我们如何操作它,我们都没有发现不同政治复杂程度的影响存在系统性差异。这表明,无论谁是接受者,考虑背书的来源对欣赏效果都很重要。
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How voters choose one out of many: a conjoint analysis of the effects of endorsements on candidate choice
ABSTRACT Candidate endorsements affect the likelihood that people vote for a candidate since they reduce the efforts devoted to vote choices. However, the effects of endorsements from different sources remain under-explored. Furthermore, the effects of endorsements are believed to vary with the level of political sophistication, as voters with low sophistication are more reliant on such shortcuts, but it is unclear whether these differences are similar for different sources. We study the effects of endorsements from three different sources – family and close friends, networks on social media and Voting Advice Applications (VAAs) – on candidate favorability. We do so with a choice-based conjoint experiment embedded in a survey from Finland (n = 1021), where we also examine differences in effects across political sophistication (political interest, frequency of political discussions, internal political efficacy, party identification, and voting in the last parliamentary election). The results show that endorsements from VAAs and family and friends have positive effects while social media networks do not. We do not find systematic differences in effects across levels of political sophistication no matter how we operationalize it. This shows that it is important to consider the source of an endorsement to appreciate the effect, no matter who is the recipient.
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来源期刊
Political Research Exchange
Political Research Exchange POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
25
审稿时长
39 weeks
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