重新审视经济增长和钢铁消费:来自印度的证据

Pinku Paul, Paroma Mitra
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文分析了2004-2005年至2019-2020年印度GDP增长与钢铁消费之间的关系。我们通过在向量误差校正模型中使用Granger因果关系检验来研究长期和短期的相关性。结果表明,从长期和短期来看,经济增长与钢铁消费之间存在单向因果关系,并得出结论,在这一时期内,经济发展与钢铁消费存在单向运动。因此,随着经济的发展,它对钢铁行业产生了直接影响。最后,该研究预测了未来十年的钢铁需求,并强调钢铁行业已做好满足需求的准备,并将重点放在更好地利用产能上。JEL代码:C51、E2、E27
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Revisiting Economic Growth and Steel Consumption: Evidence from India
The article analytically investigates the association between GDP growth and steel consumption in India from 2004–2005 to 2019–2020. We investigate the association of both long-term and short-term by employing the Granger causality test in the vector error correction model. The results showed one-way causality between economic growth to steel consumption both in the long and short run and concludes that over the period there is a unidirectional movement from economic development to steel consumption. So, as the economy progresses it has a direct impact on the steel industry. Finally, the study forecast the steel demand for the next decade and highlights the readiness of the steel industry to meet its demand and focus on better utilisation of its capacity. JEL Codes: C51, E2, E27
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