尼日利亚妇女对家庭规模的偏好及其相关因素

L. Ntoimo
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摘要

尼日利亚目前的人口估计为2.16亿,到2050年该国将成为世界第三多人口国。人口高增长的一个主要驱动力是持续的高生育率。这项研究考察了女性的生育偏好,用理想家庭规模(IFS)和相关因素来衡量。数据来自2018年尼日利亚人口与健康调查。该分析由13673名年龄在15-49岁的已婚女性组成,她们的第一次婚姻发生在调查前10年内。进行描述性和多项逻辑回归分析。IFS为5+的受访者比例为65%。略高于四分之一的儿童有四个IFS,11%的儿童有0-3个IFS。5岁以上的IFS与居住在北部和东南部地区的妇女、农村居民、穆斯林、没有受过教育的妇女、从事农业、销售/服务工作的妇女、参与四分之一或两个家庭决策、有正当理由殴打妻子、有5岁以上兄弟姐妹、经历过儿童死亡以及在20岁前结婚的妇女显著相关。尼日利亚实现降低总生育率目标的努力应该是针对这些妇女亚群体的多部门努力。
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Family size preferences among women in a union in Nigeria and associated factors
Nigeria’s population is currently estimated at 216million and the country will be the third most populous in the world in 2050. A major driver of the high population growth is persistent high fertility. This study examined women’s fertility preferences, which was measured with ideal family size (IFS) and the associated factors. Data were obtained from the 2018 Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey. The analysis consisted of a weighted sample of 13, 673 women in union, aged 15–49 years whose first marriage took place within 10 years before the survey. Descriptive and multinomial logistic regression analyses were conducted. The proportion of respondents whose IFS was 5+ was 65%. Slightly above one-quarter had IFS of four children, and 11% had IFS of 0 – 3. IFS of 5+ was significantly associated with women resident in the Northern and Southeast regions, rural residents, Muslims, women who had no education, women working in agriculture, sales/service jobs, those who participated in one or two out of four household decisions, justified wife beating, have 5+ siblings, experienced child death, and married before age 20. Efforts to achieve the target reduction in total fertility rate in Nigeria should be multi-sectoral targeting these subpopulations of women.
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