澳大利亚电动汽车火灾事件、趋势和风险缓解框架

IF 3 3区 农林科学 Q2 ECOLOGY Fire-Switzerland Pub Date : 2023-08-21 DOI:10.3390/fire6080325
M. Hassan, Nazra Hameed, Md. Delwar Hossain, Md Rayhan Hasnat, Grahame Douglas, S. Pathirana, P. Rahnamayiezekavat, S. Saha
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引用次数: 1

摘要

与内燃机汽车相比,电动汽车为减少对环境的影响提供了一个很有前途的解决方案。然而,由于对消防安全的担忧,电动汽车在澳大利亚的普及受到了阻碍。本研究旨在全面分析澳大利亚的电动汽车火灾风险和趋势,包括与充电站和锂离子电池相关的风险和趋势。该研究利用来自各种可靠来源的二手数据来开发统计预测模型,估计到2030年澳大利亚将拥有约173万辆电动汽车,到2050年将拥有1580万辆。该研究显示,澳大利亚每百万辆电动汽车的平均起火频率为6起,与全球平均水平一致。因此,预计到2030年,澳大利亚每年将发生9至10起电动汽车火灾事件,2040年每年将发生37至42起电动汽车火灾事件,到2050年每年将发生84至95起电动汽车火灾事件。为了解决这些风险,我们考虑了电动汽车火灾风险控制框架,以确定并建议适当的生命安全措施、锂离子电池、充电、电动汽车处理和电动汽车位置。这项研究为监管机构、政策制定者和消防行业有效管理电动汽车火灾风险,并为澳大利亚不断增长的电动汽车市场做好准备提供了重要证据。
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Fire Incidents, Trends, and Risk Mitigation Framework of Electrical Vehicle Cars in Australia
Electric Vehicles (EVs) offer a promising solution to reduce the environmental impact compared to internal combustion engine vehicles. However, EV adoption in Australia has been hindered by concerns over fire safety. This study aims to comprehensively analyse EV fire risks and trends in Australia, including those related to charging stations and lithium-ion batteries. The research utilises secondary data from various reputable sources to develop statistical forecasting models, which estimate that Australia will have approximately 1.73 million EVs by 2030 and 15.8 million by 2050. The study reveals an average EV fire frequency of six fires per million EVs in Australia, aligning with the global average. Consequently, Australia is expected to experience 9 to 10 EV fire incidents annually in 2030, 37 to 42 EV fire incidents annually in 2040, and 84 to 95 EV fire incidents annually in 2050. To address these risks, an EV fire risk control framework is considered to identify and recommend appropriate measures for life safety, lithium-ion batteries, charging, EV handling, and EV locations. This research provides vital evidence for regulators, policymakers, and the fire industry to effectively manage EV fire risks and enhance preparedness for the growing EV market in Australia.
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来源期刊
Fire-Switzerland
Fire-Switzerland Multiple-
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
15.60%
发文量
182
审稿时长
11 weeks
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