风险寻求行为及其对年金保险公司最优决策的启示

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2021-08-17 DOI:10.1080/10920277.2021.1977144
Cuixia Chen, Yi-Jia Lin, Minghe Zhou
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究调查了年金提供者的风险寻求和最优决策。基于1997年至2016年间美国人寿和年金(L/a)保险公司的样本,结果显示出明显的绩效依赖性风险态度。具体而言,回报率低于期望水平的保险公司承担更多的风险,而回报率高于参考水平的保险人减少了他们的风险寻求,这支持了累积前景理论(CPT)的基本命题。鉴于信用证保险行业存在混合风险偏好的初步证据,我们在CPT决策框架中推导出年金保险公司的最佳投资和业务策略。我们发现,不断变化的风险偏好在很大程度上影响年金提供者的决策。我们进一步说明了风险管理如何改变年金保险公司的最佳策略。我们的研究结果表明,风险管理降低了下行风险,并允许厌恶损失的决策者承担更多风险,实现更高水平的效用。
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Risk-Seeking Behavior and Its Implications for the Optimal Decision Making of Annuity Insurers
This study investigates risk-seeking and optimal decisions of annuity providers. On the basis of a sample of U.S. life and annuity (L/A) insurers between 1997 and 2016, the results show clear performance-dependent risk attitudes. Specifically, insurers with returns below aspiration levels take more risks, whereas those with returns above reference levels decrease their risk-seeking, which supports the basic propositions of the cumulative prospect theory (CPT). Given initial evidence of mixed risk preferences in the L/A insurance industry, we derive an annuity insurer’s optimal investment and business strategies in a CPT decision-making framework. We show that changing risk preferences considerably affect an annuity provider’s decisions. We further illustrate how risk management changes an annuity insurer’s optimal strategies. Our results suggest that risk management lowers downside risk and allows a loss-averse decision maker to assume more risk and achieve a higher level of utility.
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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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