伊朗近30年夏季湿球温度作为热应激指数的趋势分析及时空分布

G. Fallah Ghalhari, S. Farhang Dehghan, Elham Akhlaghi Pirposhteh, M. Asghari
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引用次数: 1

摘要

引言:全球变暖是引起研究人员关注的最重要的环境问题之一。本研究旨在利用30年来伊朗夏季的全球湿球温度(WBGT)指数分析热应激趋势。资料与方法:伊朗国家气象部门提供伊朗全国40个天气气象站30年夏季平均气温和平均相对湿度的每日统计资料。用德马尔顿气候分类系统对伊朗的不同气候区进行了分类。WBGT指数是根据澳大利亚气象局给出的公式计算出来的。采用Mann-Kendall统计检验和Sen's斜率估计分析了WBGT指数的变化趋势。结果:6月、7月和8月WBGT指数分别有71.42%、57.14%和66.66%的站点呈上升趋势,其中分别有53.32%、50%和42.85%的站点呈显著上升趋势。此外,在整个夏季,45%的WBGT指数测量值处于中等范围(18-23°C), 37.5%处于高范围(23-28°C), 17.5%处于极高范围(10 -28°C)。结论:夏季WBGT指数呈上升趋势,特别是在伊朗半干旱区。考虑到全球变暖的现象,有必要对该国高风险地区的敏感人群进行监测、提前计划并采取必要的预防措施。
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Trend Analysis and Temporal and Spatial Distribution of Wet Bulb Globe Temperature as a Heat Stress Index in Iran during the Summer Season over a 30-year Period
Introduction: Global warming is one of the most important environmental problems that have raised researchers’ attention. The present study aimed to analyze heat stress trends using the Wet Bulb Globe Temperature (WBGT) index in the country of Iran during the summer over a 30-year period. Materials and Methods: Daily summertime statistical data regarding mean temperature and mean relative humidity, taken from 40 synoptic meteorological stations across Iran during a 30-year period were obtained from the Iranian National Meteorological Department. The De Martonne climate classification system was used to categorize various climate regions of Iran. The WBGT index was calculated using the formula given by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. The Mann-Kendall statistical test and the Sen's slope estimator were used to analyze the trends of the WBGT index. Results: The WBGT index had an upward trend during the three months of June, July, and August in 71.42%, 57.14%, and 66.66% of all stations and this trend was statistically significant in 53.32%, 50%, and 42.85% of those stations, respectively. Moreover, throughout the summer, 45% of the WBGT index measurements were in the medium range (18-23°C), 37.5% were in the high range (23-28°C), and 17.5% were in the very high range (> 28°C). Conclusion: The WBGT index followed an upward trend during the summer, especially in semi-arid regions of Iran. Considering the phenomenon of global warming, it is essential to monitor, plan ahead, and take necessary precaution measures for sensitive populations who are at high risk areas of the country.
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来源期刊
Journal of Environmental Health and Sustainable Development
Journal of Environmental Health and Sustainable Development Engineering-Engineering (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
24
审稿时长
9 weeks
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