捷克共和国东南部1961-2020年气温和降水趋势

Matěj Orság, M. Fischer, M. Trnka, J. Brotan, Gabriela Pozníková, Z. Žalud
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本研究概述了Žabčice气象站60年来的气温和降水测量数据,该气象站位于捷克共和国东南部,由布尔诺的孟德尔大学运营。本文分析了一个跨越两个气候正常期(1961 - 1990年和新建立的1991-2020年)的仪器数据集的长期线性趋势,并在附录中提供了完整的月度数据。在新气候正常期,年平均气温由9.3°C上升至10.3°C,增长趋势为0.34°C/10年(p < 0.001)。历年每个月都变暖,其中8月升温最高、最快(+2.0℃,0.64℃/10年,p < 0.001), 10月升温最低(+0.2℃)。年降水总量增加可忽略不计(+11.1 mm),但季度分布显著变化,第二季度较为干燥(- 22.9 mm, p < 0.05),第三季度较为湿润(+37.1 mm, p < 0.05)。热带日数(最高日气温0 ~ 30℃)显著增加(+4.44/10年,p < 0.001),而霜冻日数减少(- 0.88/10年),可忽略不计。葡萄园的Huglin指数从369°C上升到2062°C(+84°C/10年,p < 0.001)。这项研究为摩拉维亚南部低地的气候变化速度提供了证据。
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Trends in Air Temperature and Precipitation in Southeastern Czech Republic, 1961-2020
This study presents a summary of sixty years of air temperature and precipitation measurements at the Žabčice weather station, located in the southeastern Czech Republic and operated by Mendel University in Brno. An instrumental dataset spanning two climatological normal periods (1961– 1990 and newly established 1991–2020) is analyzed for long term linear trends with monthly data presented in full span in Appendices. In the new climate normal period, the mean annual temperature increased from 9.3 °C to 10.3 °C with growing trend of 0.34 °C/10 years (p < 0.001). Every calendar month of year is warmer, with the highest and fastest increase in August (+2.0 °C, 0.64 °C/10 years, p < 0.001) and the lowest in October (+0.2 °C). Annual precipitation sum increased negligibly (+11.1 mm), however, the quarterly distribution significantly changes towards drier second quarter ( - 22.9 mm, p < 0.05) and wetter third quarter (+37.1 mm, p < 0.05). Number of tropical days (maximum daily air temperature > 30 °C) significantly increased (+4.44/10 years, p < 0.001), whereas number of frost days is negligibly decreasing ( - 0.88/10 years). Temperature derived Huglin index for vineyards increased by 369 °C to a seasonal sum 2062 °C (+84 °C/10 years, p < 0.001). This study provides evidence of the rate of changing climate at this southern Moravia lowland site.
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来源期刊
Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis
Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis Agricultural and Biological Sciences-Agricultural and Biological Sciences (all)
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
31
审稿时长
24 weeks
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