基于恒牙萌出研究的年龄估算新方法

C. Philip-Alliez, M. Le Gall, Adèle Brotons, Oceane Monachini, B. Foti, F. Remy
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引用次数: 1

摘要

民事年龄估计是司法个人身份认定过程的组成部分。它必须既适用于死人,也适用于活着的人。通过对恒牙萌牙过程的分析,可以推测年龄。在本研究中,这一过程是基于2010年AlQhatani等人所阐述的本斯顿重新考察的阶段进行分析的。他们被用来建立一个线性回归模型估计儿童的年龄。该模型以191张9 ~ 19.9岁儿童的骨正像片为样本建立。所创建的模型允许根据与其爆发阶段相关的最相关的牙齿群来详细制定公民年龄估计公式。估计年龄与公民年龄具有良好的相关性(R2: 0.74),准确率较高(+/- 12个月时为57%,+/- 18个月时为75%)。与预期不同的是,性别与年龄无关,因此从分析中被丢弃。
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New Approach of Civil Age Estimation Based on the Study of Permanent Teeth Eruption
Civil age estimation is part of the process of individual identification for judicial purpose. It must be applicable for dead bodies as well as for living persons. Age can be estimated through the analysis of the permanent teeth eruption process. In the present study, this process was analysed based on the Bengston’s revisited stages illustrated by AlQhatani et al. in 2010. They were used to build a linear regression model for age estimation of children. This model was built on a sample composed of 191 orthopantomographs of children aged from 9 to 19.9 years old. The created model allowed the elaboration of a formula for civil age estimation based on the most relevant teeth groups associated to their eruption stages. The estimated age showed a good correlation with civil age (R2: 0.74), and a good accuracy rate (57% at +/- 12 months and 75% at +/- 18 months). Despite what was expected, sex was not correlated with age and was discarded from the analysis.
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