贝加尔湖自然区南部天气参数时空联合场数值随机模型的建立

Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI:10.1515/rnam-2022-0006
M. S. Akenteva, N. Kargapolova, V. Ogorodnikov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要本文根据贝加尔湖自然区南部一组气象站的观测数据,建立了气温、风速矢量和半日降水量联合时空场的随机数值模型。该模型还考虑了一维分布对时间和空间坐标的依赖性。还考虑了场在空间相关性中的异质性和在时间上的周期相关性。给出了模型验证的计算结果。文中给出了一个应用该模型研究风寒指数时间序列特性的例子。
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Development of a numerical stochastic model of joint spatio-temporal fields of weather parameters for the south part of the Baikal natural territory
Abstract The paper is focused on the construction of a numerical stochastic model of the joint spatio-temporal fields of air temperature, wind speed vector with three-hour resolution, and semidiurnal precipitation amounts according to observation data at a group of weather stations located in the south of the Baikal natural territory. The model also takes into account the dependence of one-dimensional distributions on temporal and spatial coordinates. The heterogeneity of the field in spatial correlations and the periodical correlation in time are also taken into account. The results of calculations for verification of the model are presented. An example of using the developed model to study the properties of time series of the wind chill index is given.
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