基于混合人工智能的印度COVID-19传播死亡率预测模型

A. Yadav, Vinod Kumar, D. Joshi, D. Rajput, Haripriya Mishra, Basavaraj S. Paruti
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引用次数: 0

摘要

新冠肺炎预测模型非常受欢迎,也是当局做出知情决定的必要条件。由于程序缺陷,过去使用的传统模型无法可靠地估计死亡率。与人工神经网络(GA-ANN)相结合的遗传算法是合适的混合人工智能策略之一,可以通过解决这一困难的新冠肺炎现象来更准确地预测。遗传算法用于同时优化所有的人工神经网络参数。在这项工作中,GA-ANN和ANN模型是通过应用印度病人、康复者和死者的历史每日数据进行的。通过与标准的人工神经网络和MLR方法的比较,验证了所设计的混合GA-ANN模型的性能。确定了GA-ANN模型优于ANN模型。与之前研究的预测印度死亡率的模型相比,假设的混合GA-ANN模型是最有效的。这种混合人工智能(GA-ANN)模型被建议用于预测,因为它具有相当好的性能和易于实现。
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Hybrid Artificial Intelligence-Based Models for Prediction of Death Rate in India Due to COVID-19 Transmission
COVID-19 prediction models are highly welcome and necessary for authorities to make informed decisions. Traditional models, which were used in the past, were unable to reliably estimate death rates due to procedural flaws. The genetic algorithm in association with an artificial neural network (GA-ANN) is one of the suitable blended AI strategies that can foretell more correctly by resolving this difficult COVID-19 phenomena. The genetic algorithm is used to simultaneously optimise all of the ANN parameters. In this work, GA-ANN and ANN models were performed by applying historical daily data from sick, recovered, and dead people in India. The performance of the designed hybrid GA-ANN model is validated by comparing it to the standard ANN and MLR approach. It was determined that the GA-ANN model outperformed the ANN model. When compared to previous examined models for predicting mortality rates in India, the hypothesized hybrid GA-ANN model is the most competent. This hybrid AI (GA-ANN) model is suggested for the prediction due to reasonably better performance and ease of implementation.
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43
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