{"title":"基于双层网络的传染病隔离策略建模与分析:博弈论方法","authors":"Rong-Ping Zhang, Boli Xie, Yun Kang, Maoxing Liu","doi":"10.1142/s021833902350002x","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The quarantine strategy plays a crucial role in the prevention and control of infectious disease. In this paper, a two-layer network model coupling the transmission of infectious diseases and the dynamics of human behavior based on game theory is proposed. The basic reproduction number of the infectious disease in our proposed model is obtained by the next-generation matrix method and the stability of the disease-free equilibrium is analyzed. Theoretical results show that the spread of infectious diseases can be controlled when the voluntary quarantined individuals reach a certain proportion. The sensitivities of the parameters are analyzed by simulations, and the results show that increasing propaganda can directly accelerate quarantine, and reducing the relative cost of quarantine has a significant effect on preventing the infectious diseases. Increasing the detection rate will lead to overestimating the proportion of undiagnosed infected individuals, and can also promote individuals to quarantine.","PeriodicalId":1,"journal":{"name":"Accounts of Chemical Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":16.4000,"publicationDate":"2023-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"MODELING AND ANALYZING QUARANTINE STRATEGIES OF EPIDEMIC ON TWO-LAYER NETWORKS: GAME THEORY APPROACH\",\"authors\":\"Rong-Ping Zhang, Boli Xie, Yun Kang, Maoxing Liu\",\"doi\":\"10.1142/s021833902350002x\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The quarantine strategy plays a crucial role in the prevention and control of infectious disease. In this paper, a two-layer network model coupling the transmission of infectious diseases and the dynamics of human behavior based on game theory is proposed. The basic reproduction number of the infectious disease in our proposed model is obtained by the next-generation matrix method and the stability of the disease-free equilibrium is analyzed. Theoretical results show that the spread of infectious diseases can be controlled when the voluntary quarantined individuals reach a certain proportion. The sensitivities of the parameters are analyzed by simulations, and the results show that increasing propaganda can directly accelerate quarantine, and reducing the relative cost of quarantine has a significant effect on preventing the infectious diseases. Increasing the detection rate will lead to overestimating the proportion of undiagnosed infected individuals, and can also promote individuals to quarantine.\",\"PeriodicalId\":1,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Accounts of Chemical Research\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":16.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-01-06\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Accounts of Chemical Research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"99\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1142/s021833902350002x\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"化学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Accounts of Chemical Research","FirstCategoryId":"99","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s021833902350002x","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"化学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
MODELING AND ANALYZING QUARANTINE STRATEGIES OF EPIDEMIC ON TWO-LAYER NETWORKS: GAME THEORY APPROACH
The quarantine strategy plays a crucial role in the prevention and control of infectious disease. In this paper, a two-layer network model coupling the transmission of infectious diseases and the dynamics of human behavior based on game theory is proposed. The basic reproduction number of the infectious disease in our proposed model is obtained by the next-generation matrix method and the stability of the disease-free equilibrium is analyzed. Theoretical results show that the spread of infectious diseases can be controlled when the voluntary quarantined individuals reach a certain proportion. The sensitivities of the parameters are analyzed by simulations, and the results show that increasing propaganda can directly accelerate quarantine, and reducing the relative cost of quarantine has a significant effect on preventing the infectious diseases. Increasing the detection rate will lead to overestimating the proportion of undiagnosed infected individuals, and can also promote individuals to quarantine.
期刊介绍：
Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance.
Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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