基于注意力双向递归神经网络的业务流程剩余时间预测方法

Ali Fakhri Mahdi Al-Jumaily, A. Al-Jumaily, Saba J. Al-Jumaili
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引用次数: 1

摘要

现有的基于深度学习的业务流程剩余时间预测方法大多采用传统的长短期记忆递归神经网络来构建预测模型。由于传统的长短期记忆递归神经网络对序列数据的建模能力有限,现有方法在预测效果上还有很大的提升空间。针对现有方法的不足,提出了一种基于注意力双向递归神经网络的业务流程剩余时间预测方法。该方法采用双向递归神经网络对过程实例数据进行建模,并引入注意机制自动学习过程实例中不同事件的权重。此外,为了进一步提高学习效果,基于迁移学习的思想设计了迭代学习策略,针对不同长度的过程实例建立剩余时间预测模型,提高了模型的针对性。实验结果表明,与传统方法相比,该方法具有明显的优势。
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Prediction method of business process remaining time based on attention bidirectional recurrent neural network
Most of the existing deep learning-based business process remaining time prediction methods use traditional long-short-term memory recurrent neural networks to build prediction models. Due to the limited modeling ability of traditional long-short-term memory recurrent neural networks for sequence data, and existing methods there is still much room for improvement in the prediction effect. Aiming at the shortcomings of existing methods, this paper proposes a business process remaining time prediction method based on attention bidirectional recurrent neural network. The method uses a bidirectional recurrent neural network to model the process instance data and introduces an attention mechanism to automatically learn the weights of different events in the process instance. In addition, in order to further improve the learning effect, an iterative learning strategy is designed based on the idea of transfer learning, which builds remaining time prediction models for process instances of different lengths, which improves the pertinence of the model. The experimental results show that the proposed method has obvious advantages compared with traditional methods.
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