序贯市场链上过渡价格形成的动力学:分析模型

A. Voronin, I. Lebedeva, S. Lebedev
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引用次数: 0

摘要

虽然市场价格的形成问题,“需求-供给”模型中均衡价格的确定问题是众所周知的,并且大量的理论著作和总结观察结果的著作都致力于研究它,但这个问题仍然是相关的,特别是关于定价过程的动态以及与表征系统状态的参数变化相关的均衡价格的稳定性。解决这些问题的大多数研究要么集中在一个特定的当地市场,要么集中在某些产品的全球市场。这项工作的目的是建立一个数学模型,使我们能够根据市场均衡方案分析有限n维序列市场链中与过渡价格形成有关的一般问题。提出了一种分析模型,使研究相邻市场的价格动态成为可能。在这个基于使用积分方程系统确定过程的模型中,假设对顺序市场链的影响以及对这种影响的响应是连续的。所提出的定价模型在垂直市场序列中的动态方面是“后效”的存在,这种后效通过随时间分布的延迟以积分形式描述。考察了模型的充分性问题,研究了模型的内在一致性,证明了动力学数学模型从积分方程系统向线性代数方程系统过渡的正确性。给出了该方程组解的存在条件及其稳定面积。本文提出的数学模型允许对系统状态(通过相轨迹)进行定性分析。给出了两个和三个顺序市场分析模型的数值实现实例,并确定了顺序市场链各环节的均衡价格。应用仿真建模,考察了模型参数变化对解的稳定性,如所研究市场的供需弹性和相邻市场的交叉弹性,以及这些参数对市场系统的动态指标如达到均衡率的影响。
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DYNAMICS OF FORMATION OF TRANSITIONAL PRICES ON THE CHAIN OF SEQUENTIAL MARKETS: ANALYTICAL MODEL
Although the problem of formation of market prices, determination of equilibrium prices within the model “Demand – Supply” is quite known and a great number of both theoretical works and works that summarize the results of observations are devoted to its research, this problem remains relevant, especially as to the dynamics of pricing processes and the stability of equilibrium prices in relation to changes in parameters that characterize the state of the system. Most studies addressing these issues focus on either a particular local market or the global market for some products in general. The purpose of this work is to build a mathematical model that would allow us to analyze general issues related to the formation of transitional prices in the finite N-dimensional chain of sequential markets in accordance with the scheme of market equilibrium. An analytical model is proposed that makes it possible to study the dynamics of prices in adjacent markets. Within this model, which is based on the determination of processes using a system of integral equations, it was assumed that the impact on the chain of sequential markets and the response to this impact are continuous over time. The dynamic aspect of the proposed pricing model in the vertical sequence of markets is the existence of an “after-effect”, which is described in an integral form by the delay distributed over time. The issues of adequacy of the model were examined, its internal coherence was studied, the correctness of the transition from the mathematical model of dynamics as a system of integral equations to the model in the form of a system of linear algebraic equations was substantiated. The conditions for the existence of the solution for this system of equations and the area of its stability are formulated. The mathematical model proposed in this paper allows for a qualitative analysis of the system states (by phase trajectories). Examples of numerical implementation of our analytical model for two and three sequential markets are given, equilibrium prices for each link of the chain of sequential markets are determined. Applying simulation modelling, the stability of the solution in relation to changes in such parameters of the model as the elasticity of demand and supply in the market under study and cross-elasticities in adjacent markets as well as the impact of these parameters on such dynamic indicators of the market system as the rate of attainment of equilibrium was examined.
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