带采样权的多层建模的加权残差自举法

Wen Luo, Hok Chio Lai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

多级建模通常用于分析通过多级抽样设计收集的调查数据。当选择具有信息性时,需要在估计中加入采样权重。我们提出了一种加权残差自举方法作为多级伪最大似然(MPML)估计量的替代方法。在使用两级线性混合效应模型的蒙特卡罗模拟中,bootstrap方法在截距、二级预测器的斜率和二级方差分量的估计和统计推断方面显示出优于MPML的优势。研究了样本量、选择机制、类内相关性(ICC)和分布假设对方法性能的影响。当样本量和ICC较小以及违反正态性假设时,MPML的性能是次优的。bootstrap估计在所有模拟条件下通常表现良好,但当样本量和ICCs较大时,在估计随机斜率模型中的协方差分量时具有明显的次优性能。举个例子,bootstrap方法被应用于经合组织国际学生评估计划(PISA)使用R包bootmlm进行的数学成绩调查的美国数据。
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A Weighted Residual Bootstrap Method for Multilevel Modeling with Sampling Weights
Multilevel modeling is often used to analyze survey data collected with a multistage sampling design. When the selection is informative, sampling weights need to be incorporated in the estimation. We propose a weighted residual bootstrap method as an alternative to the multilevel pseudo-maximum likelihood (MPML) estimators. In a Monte Carlo simulation using two-level linear mixed effects models, the bootstrap method showed advantages over MPML for the estimates and the statistical inferences of the intercept, the slope of the level-2 predictor, and the variance components at level-2. The impact of sample size, selection mechanism, intraclass correlation (ICC), and distributional assumptions on the performance of the methods were examined. The performance of MPML was suboptimal when sample size and ICC were small and when the normality assumption was violated. The bootstrap estimates performed generally well across all the simulation conditions, but had notably suboptimal performance in estimating the covariance component in a random slopes model when sample size and ICCs were large. As an illustration, the bootstrap method is applied to the American data of the OECD’s Program for International Students Assessment (PISA) survey on math achievement using the R package bootmlm.
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