重新审视Panjer类:Panjer(a,b,n)类分布的一个公式

IF 1.5 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Annals of Actuarial Science Pub Date : 2021-03-26 DOI:10.2139/ssrn.3813246
Michael Fackler
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要对1981 ~ 2002年间概率最终满足Panjer递归的损失计数分布进行了分类;它们分为六种,看起来很不一样。然而,这些分布是密切相关的——我们展示了它们的概率来自一个公式:二项式级数。我们提出了一种参数变化,它可以统一、实用和直观地表示Panjer分布及其参数空间。我们确定了参数空间的子集,其中概率是参数的连续函数。最后,我们给出了用于Panjer分布的参数化清单。
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Panjer class revisited: one formula for the distributions of the Panjer (a,b,n) class
Abstract The loss count distributions whose probabilities ultimately satisfy Panjer’s recursion were classified between 1981 and 2002; they split into six types, which look quite diverse. Yet, the distributions are closely related – we show that their probabilities emerge out of one formula: the binomial series. We propose a parameter change that leads to a unified, practical and intuitive, representation of the Panjer distributions and their parameter space. We determine the subsets of the parameter space where the probabilities are continuous functions of the parameters. Finally, we give an inventory of parameterisations used for Panjer distributions.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
5.90%
发文量
22
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