采用综合分解法实现全经济节能。

D. Setyawan
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引用次数: 8

摘要

这项研究比较了印度尼西亚与其他东南亚国家,如越南、泰国、新加坡、菲律宾和马来西亚在1971年至2016年期间的能源强度表现。为此,本研究采用了乘对数均值除数法和时空指数分解分析法。1971年至2016年,制造业和商业在区域经济结构中发挥了关键作用,占经济总量的60%至80%左右。制造业的贡献增长相当显著,从1971年的8%上升到2001年的31%左右的峰值,然后在2016年降至28%。另一方面,农业部门的贡献从1971年的49%下降到2016年的17%左右。本研究表明,在过去45年中,这些国家能源强度变化的总体趋势一直在下降。印度尼西亚的总能源强度从1971年到1999年平均每年稳定增长3%,在此期间增长了一倍多,而从1999年到2001年,能源强度平均每年下降1%,2016年总体下降17%。总而言之,就结构和工业对总能源强度的影响而言,所有这些国家都显示工业增加值向能源密集程度较高的工业转移,这也因工业内能源强度下降而抵消。然而,分析表明,这一趋势的两个因素在印度尼西亚最为明显。
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Economy-wide energy efficiency using a comprehensive decomposition method.
This study compares the energy intensity performance in Indonesia to other south-east Asia countries such as Vietnam, Thailand, Singapore, The Philippines and Malaysia for the period from 1971 to 2016. For this goal, this research employs a multiplicative Log Mean Divisia Index II method and Spatial-Temporal Index Decomposition Analysis. The manufacturing sector and commercial sector played a key role in the regions economic structures that accounted for around 60% to 80% of the total economic output from 1971 to 2016. The contribution of the manufacturing sector increased quite significantly, from 8% in 1971 to a peak of around 31% in 2001, before it fell to 28% in 2016. On the other hand, the contribution of agriculture sector dropped from 49% in 1971 to approximately 17% in 2016. It is demonstrated in this research that the aggregate trend of the changes in energy intensity in these countries in the past forty-five years has been decreasing. For Indonesia, aggregate energy intensity rose steadily by an average of 3% per year from 1971 to 1999, more than doubling over this period, while from 1999 to 2001 energy intensity fell by 1% per annum on average, falling by 17% overall in 2016. Overall, in terms of structure and industry effects on aggregate energy intensity, all these countries showed a shift in industry value added to more energy-intensive industries which also offset by falling within-industry energy intensity. However, the analysis shows that both element of this trend was most pronounced in Indonesia.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.90
自引率
2.90%
发文量
11
审稿时长
8 weeks
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