哥伦比亚犯罪对青少年生育能力的影响

Q3 Social Sciences Desarrollo y Sociedad Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI:10.13043/dys.90.2
Laura Victoria Urrego Ospina, Deici Alejandra Giraldo Hurtado
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是探讨暴力犯罪对青少年生育选择的影响。它回顾了暴力犯罪缩短预期寿命的假设,这导致个人在生育方面做出更早的决定。我们分别对10-14岁和15-19岁年龄组的青少年生育率(AFR)进行了建模。我们使用哥伦比亚2003 - 2014年部门水平的面板数据集,使用具有部门固定效应的Arellano-Bond估计器。实证结果表明,犯罪对15-19岁青少年的AFR有正向影响,且有10%的统计学显著性。本文的结果有助于解释哥伦比亚犯罪和生育选择之间的联系。它提供了对影响AFR的不同因素的进一步了解,并激发了公众对加强国家机构、确保获得优质教育和促进早期干预方案的必要性的讨论。本研究结果显示,15-19岁年龄组的自杀率与AFR之间存在10%的显著正相关关系,支持本研究的假设。它表明,15-19岁年龄组的生育率每1000名妇女增加61名,而每100 000名居民的总死亡人数增加1000人。
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The effect of crime on adolescent fertility in Colombia
The purpose of this work is to explore the role of violent crime on adolescent fertility choices. It reviews the hypothesis that violent crime shortens life expectancy, which leads individuals to make earlier decisions about childbearing. We model the adolescent fertility rate (AFR) for the 10-14 and 15-19 years age groups separately. We use a panel data set for Colombia at department level from 2003 to 2014, using Arellano-Bond estimator with department fixed effects. The empirical findings suggest that crime has a positive effect on AFR among adolescent aged 15-19, and is statistically significant at 10%. The results of this paper contribute to explaining the connection between crime and fertility choices in Colombia. It provides further insight into the different factors affecting AFR, and stimulates public debate on the need to strengthen the country’s institutions and to ensure access to quality education and the promotion of early interventions programs. results of this show a positive and significant relationship at 10% between the rate and the AFR for the 15-19 age group, supporting the hypothesis of this work. It suggests that AFR for the 15-19 age group increases by 61 births per 1000 women when the total number of increases by 1000 deaths per 100.000 inhabitants.
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来源期刊
Desarrollo y Sociedad
Desarrollo y Sociedad Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations
CiteScore
1.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
23
审稿时长
12 weeks
期刊介绍: The Revista Desarrollo y Sociedad is an academic and open access journal, published each semester, that belongs to the Centro de Estudios sobre Desarrollo y Sociedad (CEDE) of the School of Economics at Universidad de los Andes (Colombia). The journal seeks to disseminate the investigations and academic projects develop at Universities and Research Centers, at a national and international level; it is addressed to economists and researchers of related fields. The special editions are selected aiming to choose topics highly relevant to the area of Economy. The call for papers is permanently open.
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