新的极端主义政党进入主流政党的政策纲领会产生什么影响?

IF 0.6 4区 社会学 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Journal of Theoretical Politics Pub Date : 2019-06-27 DOI:10.1177/0951629819854138
S. Merrill, B. Grofman
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引用次数: 2

摘要

我们研究了极端主义政党进入一维政治光谱的一端或两端后,在比例代表制下对寻求政策的中左翼和中右翼政党的影响。假设选民分布对称、单峰,我们表明,左翼或右翼的单一极端主义政党的加入将两个主流政党推向与极端主义政党相反的方向。我们认为,这种三方方案是当代欧洲政治中最具经验相关性的案例。我们还将Casamatta和De Donder的结果扩展到对称、单峰的选民分布,他们预测主流政党在与两个极端主义政党的公共关系选举中处于平衡状态。在这些作者没有考虑的情况下,我们表明,如果选民分布足够双峰,对称选民分布对主流政党的调节作用就会逆转。
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What are the effects of entry of new extremist parties on the policy platforms of mainstream parties?
We examine the consequences to policy-seeking, center-left and center-right parties under proportional representation following entry by extremist parties either at one or both ends of a unidimensional political spectrum. Assuming a symmetric, unimodal voter distribution, we show that the entry of a single extremist party on either the left or right drives both mainstream parties in the direction opposite to the extremist party. We argue that this three-party scenario is the most empirically relevant case in contemporary European politics. We also extend results of Casamatta and De Donder that project moderation of mainstream parties at equilibrium for PR elections with two extremist parties – one on each end – to a symmetric, unimodal voter distribution. In a setting not considered by these authors, we show that this moderating effect on the mainstream parties for a symmetric voter distribution is reversed if the voter distribution is sufficiently bimodal.
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来源期刊
Journal of Theoretical Politics
Journal of Theoretical Politics POLITICAL SCIENCE-
CiteScore
2.10
自引率
10.00%
发文量
19
期刊介绍: The Journal of Theoretical Politics is an international journal one of whose principal aims is to foster the development of theory in the study of political processes. It provides a forum for the publication of original papers seeking to make genuinely theoretical contributions to the study of politics. The journal includes rigorous analytical articles on a range of theoretical topics. In particular, it focuses on new theoretical work which is broadly accessible to social scientists and contributes to our understanding of political processes. It also includes original syntheses of recent theoretical developments in diverse fields.
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