2016年宾夕法尼亚州总统和参议院选举:打破宾夕法尼亚州的选举习惯

Berwood A. Yost, Jackie Redman, Scottie L Thompson
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文使用选举前调查数据、选举后调查数据以及选民登记和选举数据来解释2016年宾夕法尼亚州总统和美国参议院竞选的结果。这一分析显示了英联邦特定地区选民登记和投票率的变化如何解释2016年的选举结果,这些变化在很大程度上是由受教育程度较低的选民、对国家当前方向不满的选民以及现任总统的表现推动的。
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The 2016 Pennsylvania Presidential and U.S. Senate Elections: Breaking Pennsylvania’s Electoral Habits
This article uses pre-election survey data, post-election survey data, and voter registration and election data to interpret the outcomes of the 2016 presidential and U.S. Senate races in Pennsylvania. This analysis shows how changes in voter registration and voter turnout in specific areas of the Commonwealth, driven in large part by less-educated voters, those dissatisfied with the current direction of the country, and the performance of the incumbent president, explain the 2016 election results.
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