《长臂与铁拳:专制镇压与跨国镇压》

IF 2.2 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Journal of Conflict Resolution Pub Date : 2023-07-13 DOI:10.1177/00220027231188896
Alexander Dukalskis, Saipira Furstenberg, S. Hellmeier, Redmond Scales
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引用次数: 1

摘要

新兴的关于跨国镇压的文献已经确定了威权国家用来控制和胁迫其海外人口的几种策略。本文在现有研究的基础上,通过调查跨国镇压的国内决定因素。它认为,国内镇压的增加可能会导致随后跨国镇压的增加,因为国内镇压将异见人士驱逐到国外,并激励国家将镇压目光延伸到境外。为了评估其论点,这篇文章引用了一个包含约1200起案件的数据库,其中世界各地的威权国家在1991年至2019年间在国外威胁、袭击、引渡、绑架或暗杀本国公民。该论文首次使用多元回归分析对跨国镇压的国内驱动因素进行了定量测试,发现随着国内镇压的加剧,该国随后升级跨国镇压的可能性也大幅增加。
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The Long Arm and the Iron Fist: Authoritarian Crackdowns and Transnational Repression
The emerging literature dealing with transnational repression has identified several strategies used by authoritarian states to control and coerce their populations abroad. This article builds on existing research by investigating the domestic determinants of transnational repression. It argues that an increase in domestic repression is likely to lead to a subsequent increase in transnational repression because crackdowns at home drive dissent abroad and incentivize the state to extend its repressive gaze beyond its borders. To evaluate its arguments, the article draws on a database of approximately 1200 cases in which authoritarian states around the world threatened, attacked, extradited, abducted, or assassinated their own citizens abroad between 1991 and 2019. Offering a first quantitative test of domestic drivers of transnational repression, using multivariate regression analysis, the paper finds that as repression intensifies domestically, the likelihood of that state subsequently escalating its transnational repression also increases substantively.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.30
自引率
9.70%
发文量
101
期刊介绍: The Journal of Conflict Resolution is an interdisciplinary journal of social scientific theory and research on human conflict. It focuses especially on international conflict, but its pages are open to a variety of contributions about intergroup conflict, as well as between nations, that may help in understanding problems of war and peace. Reports about innovative applications, as well as basic research, are welcomed, especially when the results are of interest to scholars in several disciplines.
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