基于Vasicek随机利率模型的Zillmer和保费充足率准备金方法的比较

M. I. Rachman, Anasya Daffa Pertiwi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

准确计算保费准备金将确保保险公司能够支付索赔。保费准备金是保险公司收取的资金,是保险金额与保险期间为索赔准备的付款价值之间的差额。保费准备金的计算方法有几种,但本研究的重点是Zillmer方法和保费充足率方法,它们是前瞻性方法的扩展。本研究旨在比较使用Vasicek模型确定随机利率的两种方法。然后采用普通最小二乘法对瓦西切克利率参数进行估计。在比较两种保费准备金方法时,本研究使用印尼银行2017-2021年的参考费率数据和2019年的印尼死亡率表IV,为参考男性和女性被保险人建立了一个模拟。这项研究的结果表明,对于男性和女性被保险人来说,使用Zillmer方法计算保费准备金的价值低于保费充足率方法。
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Comparison of Zillmer and Premium Sufficiency Reserve Method using the Vasicek Stochastic Interest Rate Model
An accurate calculation of premium reserves will ensure that the insurance company can pay claims. Premium reserves are funds collected by insurance companies which are the difference between the sum insured and the value of payments during the insurance period prepared for claim payments. There are several methods for calculating premium reserves, but the methods that are the focus of this study are the Zillmer method and the Premium Sufficiency method, extensions of the prospective method. This study aims to compare the two methods using the Vasicek model to determine the stochastic interest rate. Then the Ordinary Least Square method is used to estimate the Vasicek interest rate parameter. In comparing the two premium reserve methods, this study builds a simulation for reference male and female insureds using Bank Indonesia reference rate data for 2017-2021 and the Indonesian Mortality Table IV from 2019. The results of this study indicate that premiums reserve calculations using the Zillmer method yield less value than the Premium Adequacy method for both male and female insureds.
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