能源强度变化的驱动因素:能源出口国与进口国的比较

M. Fallah Jelodar, S. Sadeghi
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文使用DEA Malmquist(数据包络分析)和面板GMM(广义矩量法)方法,比较了2000-2001年期间净能源出口国和净能源进口国能源强度变化的驱动因素。研究结果表明,技术进步在降低两组人的能量强度方面都发挥了重要作用。此外,我们使用DEA方法将Malmquist全要素生产率(TFP)分解为其组成部分,包括技术变化(TC)、效率变化(EC)、纯效率变化(PEC)和规模效率变化(SEC)。结果表明,在能源出口国,这些TFP成分中的每一个对能源强度的影响都是负面的,但相对较弱,而这些成分对降低进口国能源强度的作用相当大。具体而言,纯效率成分在降低能源强度方面的估计系数非常显著,这表明TFP的效率成分在能源管理中的高度重要性。接下来,我们将调查能源出口国和进口国技术进步的主要驱动力是什么。研究结果表明,在净能源出口国,贸易开放是提高生产力的主导因素,而在净能源进口国,内部研发是提高技术效率的主导因素。
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Driving factors of changes in energy intensity: A comparison between energy exporting and importing countries
This paper compares the driving factors of changes in energy intensity in both net energy exporting and importing countries using a DEA-Malmquist (Data Envelopment Analysis) and panel GMM (Generalized Method of Moments) methods over the period of 2000–2021. The findings show that technological progress has played a significant role in reducing of energy intensity in both groups. Moreover, we use the DEA method to decompose the Malmquist total factor productivity (TFP) into its components including technical change (TC), efficiency change (EC), pure efficiency change (PEC) and scale efficiency change (SEC). The results show that in energy exporting countries, the effects of each of these TFP components on energy intensity are negative but relatively weak, while the effects of these components on reducing energy intensity in importing countries is considerable. Specifically, the estimated coefficient of the pure efficiency component in reducing energy intensity in very remarkable, which shows the high importance of the efficiency components of TFP in energy management. Next, we investigate what is the main driver of technological progress in both the energy exporting and importing countries. The findings imply that in net energy exporting countries trade openness is a dominant factor to improve productivity, while in net energy importing countries, internal R&D is the dominant factor for improving technological efficiency.
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