2016年国际足联五人制足球世界杯期间区分输赢以及成功与失败球队的关键表现指标

IF 2.8 2区 医学 Q1 SPORT SCIENCES Science and Medicine in Football Pub Date : 2020-01-02 DOI:10.1080/24733938.2019.1662937
Shariman Ismadi Ismail, H. Nunome
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引用次数: 4

摘要

摘要本研究结合2016年国际足联五人制足球世界杯的其他关键表现指标,对五人制足球控球的有效性进行了调查。分析了40场比赛的典型关键变量和混合变量(防守控球、进攻控球和总控球指数),以区分单场比赛的输赢,并区分锦标赛中排名前(半决赛)和垫底(小组赛最后一名)的球队。二元逻辑回归模型用于区分关键绩效指标,并预测获胜和成功的概率。结果显示,赢得比赛的球队和顶级球队的总射门次数(p<0.01)和总控球指数(p<0.01)明显高于对手。尽管控球(百分比)并没有仅仅对比赛结果表现出效力,但混合控球变量,特别是总控球指数,成功地在单场五人制足球比赛中以及成功队和失败队之间显著区分了输赢(p<0.01)。混合控球变量在预测比赛和锦标赛结果方面的适用性可能加强了控球策略在五人制足球中的重要性。二元逻辑回归模型也证明了其在结果预测中的可靠性。
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The key performance indicators that discriminate winning and losing, and successful and unsuccessful teams during 2016 FIFA Futsal World Cup
ABSTRACT This study investigated the efficacy of ball-possession in futsal with other key performance indicators from the 2016 FIFA Futsal World Cup. Typical key variables and hybrid variables (defensive ball-possession, offensive ball-possession and total ball-possession index) were analysed from 40 matches to distinguish between winning and losing of a single match, and to differentiate between the top (semi-finalist) and bottom (finished last in group stage) teams in the tournament. Binary logistic regression model was used to distinguish among the key performance indicators and to predict the probability of winning and success. The results revealed that teams that won matches and the top teams were found to have a significantly higher total number of attempt of shot (p < 0.01) and total ball-possession index (p < 0.01) than their counter-pairs. Although ball-possession (percentage-wise) did not demonstrate its efficacy solely on the match outcomes, hybrid ball-possession variables, particularly the total ball-possession index, succeeded in significantly discriminating (p < 0.01) between win and loss in a single futsal match as well as between successful and unsuccessful teams. The applicability of hybrid ball-possession variables to predict matches and tournament outcomes likely reinforces the importance of ball-possession strategy in futsal. Binary logistic regression model also demonstrated its reliability in outcome prediction.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.70
自引率
11.80%
发文量
69
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