出行行为和基础设施改变缓解高温暴露的有效性

IF 2.4 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Frontiers in Sustainable Cities Pub Date : 2023-03-09 DOI:10.3389/frsc.2023.1129388
Rui Li, M. Chester, A. Middel, J. Vanos, Danae Hernández-Cortés, I. Buo, D. Hondula
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引用次数: 1

摘要

城市热暴露是城市居民日益增加的健康风险。为了减少温室气体排放,许多城市都在考虑为主动出行提供便利,尤其是步行和骑自行车。然而,如果没有适当的规划和交通基础设施来对抗极端高温,促进积极的流动性可能会导致更多与热有关的发病率和死亡率,特别是在未来预计的气候变化情况下。本研究估计了在建筑环境和出行行为改变下主动减少出行热暴露的有效性。利用基于活动的出行模型(ABM)、平均辐射温度(TMRT,人类净辐射暴露)、交通网络和当地气候带,对凤凰城都市区624,987次主动出行进行了模拟。设计了两种场景来减少旅行者的暴露:一种侧重于建筑环境的变化(使社区更凉爽),另一种侧重于旅行行为的变化(从较短的旅行时间但较高的暴露路线转向较长的旅行时间但较冷的路线)。旅行者在没有环境或行为改变的情况下,经历了29°C到76°C(84°F到168°F)的TMRT热暴露。当建筑环境从较热的设计变为较冷的设计时,主动行程TMRT暴露平均减少1.2-3.7°C。行为的改变比建筑环境的改变减少了多达10倍的行程。冷却的边际效益随着冷却走廊改造数量的增加而降低。当最繁忙的10公里走廊冷却时,边际效益影响超过1,000次/公里。然而,冷却所有走廊的边际效益低至每公里1次。结果表明:在资源有限的情况下,应优先考虑客流量较大的走廊,最佳降温效果来自于环境和出行行为的共同改变。研究结果显示了如何对旅行行为和建筑环境的改变进行外科手术式投资,以最有效地保护活跃的旅行者。
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Effectiveness of travel behavior and infrastructure change to mitigate heat exposure
Urban heat exposure is an increasing health risk among urban dwellers. Many cities are considering accommodating active mobility, especially walking and biking, to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. However, promoting active mobility without proper planning and transportation infrastructure to combat extreme heat exposure may cause more heat-related morbidity and mortality, particularly in future with projected climate change. This study estimated the effectiveness of active trip heat exposure mitigation under built environment and travel behavior change. Simulations of the Phoenix metro region's 624,987 active trips were conducted using the activity-based travel model (ABM), mean radiant temperature (TMRT, net human radiation exposure), transportation network, and local climate zones. Two scenarios were designed to reduce traveler exposure: one that focuses on built environment change (making neighborhoods cooler) and the other on travel behavior (switching from shorter travel time but higher exposure routes to longer travel time but cooler routes) change. Travelers experienced TMRT heat exposure ranging from 29°C to 76°C (84°F to 168°F) without environmental or behavioral change. Active trip TMRT exposures were reduced by an average of 1.2–3.7°C when the built environment was changed from a hotter to cooler design. Behavioral changes cooled up to 10 times more trips than changes in built environment changes. The marginal benefit of cooling decreased as the number of cooled corridors transformed increased. When the most traveled 10 km of corridors were cooled, the marginal benefit affected over 1,000 trips/km. However, cooling all corridors results in marginal benefits as low as 1 trip/km. The results reveal that heavily traveled corridors should be prioritized with limited resources, and the best cooling results come from environment and travel behavior change together. The results show how to surgically invest in travel behavior and built environment change to most effectively protect active travelers.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.00
自引率
7.10%
发文量
176
审稿时长
13 weeks
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