致命品牌:恐怖组织的标志和暴力

IF 3.4 1区 社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Journal of Peace Research Pub Date : 2023-06-29 DOI:10.1177/00223433231168181
Matteo CM Casiraghi, E. Cusumano
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引用次数: 0

摘要

恐怖组织通常被描述为品牌。然而,这些品牌最重要的视觉表现——恐怖组织的标志——仍未被探索。在这篇文章中,我们展示了徽标是一种信号设备,它为使用暴力的倾向提供了重要的线索。为此,我们对562个恐怖主义标志(2000-16)进行了编码和分析。在对世界各地恐怖组织使用的主要颜色和符号进行描述性概述后,我们依靠零膨胀负二项模型来分析这些组织的视觉选择与其致命活动之间的关系。我们的研究结果表明,恐怖组织标志中暴力、宗教和极端主义符号的存在,以及使用黑色作为主要颜色,与更频繁、更致命的袭击有关。这些发现具有重要的政策意义,表明理性是预测恐怖组织构成威胁的行为线索,其效果不亚于其意识形态。通过强调徽标等视觉人工制品的重要性及其对定量研究的适应性,我们的文章还为国际关系提供了一种新的方法学贡献,有助于弥合解释性和批判性安全研究之间的差距。
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Lethal brands: Terrorist groups’ logos and violence
Terrorist organizations are often described as brands. However, the most important visual representations of these brands – terrorist groups’ logos – have remained unexplored. In this article, we demonstrate that logos are signalling devices that provide vital cues on the propensity to use violence. To this end, we code and analyse 562 terrorist logos (2000–16). After providing a descriptive overview of the main colours and symbols used by terrorist groups worldwide, we rely on a zero-inflated negative binomial model to analyse the relationship between these organizations’ visual choices and their deadly activities. Our results show that the presence of violent, religious, and extremist symbols in terrorist organizations’ logos, as well as the use of black as the main colour, correlates with more frequent and deadlier attacks. These findings have important policy implications, demonstrating that logos serve as behavioural cues predicting the threat posed by terrorist groups not less effectively than their ideology. By highlighting the importance of visual artifacts like logos and their amenability to quantitative research, our article also provides a novel methodological contribution to international relations, helping bridge the gap between explanatory and critical security studies.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.70
自引率
5.60%
发文量
80
期刊介绍: Journal of Peace Research is an interdisciplinary and international peer reviewed bimonthly journal of scholarly work in peace research. Edited at the International Peace Research Institute, Oslo (PRIO), by an international editorial committee, Journal of Peace Research strives for a global focus on conflict and peacemaking. From its establishment in 1964, authors from over 50 countries have published in JPR. The Journal encourages a wide conception of peace, but focuses on the causes of violence and conflict resolution. Without sacrificing the requirements for theoretical rigour and methodological sophistication, articles directed towards ways and means of peace are favoured.
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