灵活的移民政策能刺激劳动力市场的竞争力吗?俄罗斯联邦境内移民案件

Azamat Valei, Suleiman O. Mamman
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着全球劳动力移民的涌入,发达国家成为接收国,俄罗斯联邦等国实施了严格的移民政策,以遏制这些移民的流入,这些移民主要来自低收入国家。然而,在理论支持下,劳动力移民的增加带来了接受国劳动力市场的竞争力。鉴于俄罗斯劳动力移民的特点,本研究评估了俄罗斯劳动力移民政策是否能提高竞争力。该研究使用非平稳异质面板模型和均值组和合并均值组的估计量,对俄罗斯地区的14个国家进行了面板数据分析,并对世界其他地区的数据进行了汇总。结果首先表明,工资水平和劳动力供应(移民、移民和本土劳动力)之间存在较强的协整关系。研究结果揭示了移民流入和本土劳动力对工资水平的短期负面影响,但从长远来看,这是一个积极的影响,表明劳动力移民流入在俄罗斯劳动力市场中是不可完全替代的。研究结果还表明,从短期和长期来看,移民政策对工资都有积极影响,表明严格的移民政策会阻碍劳动力在劳动力市场上的竞争力。
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Does flexible migration policy spur competitiveness in the labor market? A case of migrants in the Russian Federation
With the influx of labor migrants across the globe and developed countries being on the receiving end, countries like the Russian Federation have implemented strict migration policies to check the inflow of these migrants, mainly from low-income countries. However, with theoretical underpin the increase in labor migrants brings about competitiveness in the receiving countries labor market. The current study evaluates whether the Russian labor migration policy promotes competitiveness given the characteristics of labor migrants in Russia. The study carried out panel data analysis for 14 countries within Russian region and an aggregated data from the rest of the world using the non-stationary heterogeneous panel model and estimators of mean group and pooled mean group. The result first presents strong cointegration between wage levels and labor supply (immigrant, emigrants, and native workforce). The result then reveals a negative effect of immigrants inflow and native workforce on wage levels in the short run but a positive effect, in the long run, suggesting that the labor migrants inflow is imperfectly substitutable in the Russian labor market. The result also shows a positive effect of migration policy on wages both in the short and long run, indicating that the strict migration policy can hinder the competitiveness of the labor force in the labor market.
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审稿时长
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