不仅仅是一个游戏:场景规划,想象力和公共图书馆的未来

IF 1.4 Q2 INFORMATION SCIENCE & LIBRARY SCIENCE Public Library Quarterly Pub Date : 2022-12-12 DOI:10.1080/01616846.2022.2154068
Melissa J. Adams, M. Finch, Bronwen Gamble
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引用次数: 0

摘要

战略规划不仅需要分析一个组织的未来目标和轨迹,还需要分析该组织将在其中运作的未来环境。如果不能及时旅行,看到十年、二十年甚至五十年后的世界会是什么样子,组织往往会避免探索战略规划的这一重要组成部分。然而,有一种方法可以通过将场景纳入战略规划过程来进行时间旅行。场景是一种讲故事的工具,源自当前的现实,让我们得以一窥未来尚未书写的潜在篇章。这些场景允许组织探索如何,甚至是否,他们的未来目标可能与他们的社区和整个世界的未来故事线相吻合。使用情景进行战略规划的公共图书馆将有更大的灵活性和适应性来实施变革,特别是在不确定时期。对雷丁公共图书馆使用的基于场景的战略规划方法和具体基于场景的过程的研究,说明了公共图书馆在应对动荡和不确定性时通过使用场景可以获得的优势。
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More than a Game: Scenario Planning, Imagination, and the Public Library’s Future
ABSTRACT Strategic planning requires analyzing not only the future goals and trajectory of an organization but also the contextual future world in which that organization will operate. Without being able to travel in time to see what the world will be like in ten, twenty, or even fifty years, organizations often avoid exploring this vital component to strategic planning. There is, however, a way to time travel metaphorically by incorporating scenarios into the strategic planning process. Scenarios are storytelling tools, derived from current-day realities, that present glimpses into the potential chapters of a future that has yet to be written. These scenarios allow organizations to explore how, and even if, their future goals might mesh with the future storylines of their communities and the world at large. Public libraries that use scenarios for strategic planning will have greater flexibility and adaptability to implement change, especially during uncertain times. An examination of a scenario-based approach to strategic planning and the specific scenario-based process utilized at the Reading Public Library illustrates the advantages public libraries can gain by employing scenarios when navigating turbulence and uncertainty.
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来源期刊
Public Library Quarterly
Public Library Quarterly INFORMATION SCIENCE & LIBRARY SCIENCE-
CiteScore
3.50
自引率
21.10%
发文量
26
期刊介绍: Public Libraries Quarterly is addressed to leaders-directors, managers, staff, trustees, and friends-who believe that change is imperative if public libraries are to fulfill their service missions in the twenty-first century. In PLQ, directors and operating officers tell how they accomplished change. The journal examines: •best practices and models to improve service •management case studies-with results and failures •library mythologies that retard individual and institutional development •studies of how to plan results and accomplish desired outcomes •marketing and fund-raising tools that work •budget and financial analysis tools and tips
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