战争期间乌克兰农业部门的分析

M. Nehrey, O. Trofimtseva
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引用次数: 13

摘要

俄罗斯对乌克兰的战争大大增加了粮食安全风险,并导致农业生产、供应链和贸易中断,导致全球粮食和化肥价格达到前所未有的水平。到2022年中期,世界农业市场的现状表明,乌克兰农业部门对全球农产品市场,特别是对欧盟经济的重要性。本文考察了乌克兰农业部门在世界农业市场上的地位。分析了我国农产品进出口结构。对乌克兰农产品出口的动态进行了研究,并确定了其消极变化的主要原因。已经确定,乌克兰农业部门在战争期间面临的主要问题是:乌克兰领土被占领,国内外物流链断裂,国内市场数量减少,乌克兰人口购买力下降,农业生产资源不足,劳动力问题以及乌克兰农业机械和产品被盗。国内农业部门既需要国家的支持,也需要外国基金、组织和国家的支持。乌克兰政府制定了几个计划,在军事行动期间支持农业生产者。在税收方面,支持的代价是增值税减免,对1和2组的FLP随意纳税,国家对动员工人支付ERU,取消石油产品消费税等。国家在财政领域对农业部门的支持是通过提供廉价信贷和开设新的赠款项目来实现的。在州一级也进行了放松管制的进程:取消商业检查,引入商业经营申报制度,简化海关程序。对战后经济中农业部门的前景进行了研究。特别是,研究发现农业部门发展的关键因素是人。农业部门复苏的重要内容是发展农业教育和科学,在各地区建立可持续链条,将有竞争力的产品融入世界市场,适应气候,可持续和生态农业,技术发展和农业部门数字化。
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Analysis of the agriculture sector of Ukraine during the war
Russia's war against Ukraine has significantly increased food security risks and caused disruptions in agricultural production, supply chains, and trade, leading to unprecedented levels of global food and fertilizer prices. The current situation in the world agricultural markets by the middle of 2022 has shown the importance of the Ukrainian agricultural sector for the global market of agricultural products in general and the economy of the European Union, in particular. The article examines the place of the Ukrainian agriculture sector in the world agricultural market. The structure of export and import of agricultural products was analyzed. The dynamics of agrarian exports of Ukraine have been studied and the main reasons for its negative change have been determined. It has been established that the main problems during the war for the Ukrainian agrarian sector were: the occupation of Ukrainian territories, breaking of logistic chains inside and outside the country, reduction of the volume of the domestic market, and decreasing purchasing power of the Ukrainian population, insufficient resources for agricultural production, problems with labor force and theft of Ukrainian agricultural machinery and products. The domestic agricultural sector needs support from both the state and foreign funds, organizations, and countries. The Ukrainian government created several programs to support agricultural producers during military operations. In the tax, the support took place at the expense of VAT reduction, payment of taxes for FLP of 1 and 2 groups at will, payment of ERU by the state for the mobilized workers, cancellation of excise tax on oil products, etc. State support of the agrarian sector in the financial sphere is realized by providing access to cheap credits and the opening of new grant programs. Deregulation processes also took place at the state level: cancellation of business inspections, the introduction of the declarative system of business operation, and simplification of customs procedures. The prospects of the agricultural sector in the post-war economy have been studied. In particular, it was found that the key factor of agrarian sector development is people. Important for the recovery of the agricultural sector is the development of agricultural education and science, creation of sustainable chains in the regions, integration with competitive products into world markets, adaptation to the climate, sustainable and ecological agriculture, technological development, and digitalization of the agricultural sector.
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