全球经济增长的舵手:中国在2007-08年经济大衰退中扮演了重要角色吗?来自一些东亚经济体的证据

IF 3.7 Q1 ECONOMICS China Economic Journal Pub Date : 2021-04-13 DOI:10.1080/17538963.2021.1893141
Moussa K. Fall
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要本文研究了2007-2008年世界金融和经济危机后,中国财政刺激政策对其主要东亚贸易伙伴的影响,通过使用2000-2013年期间的月度数据估计结构向量自回归(SVAR)模型,研究了亚洲生产链中的四个国家:新加坡、马来西亚、韩国和菲律宾。事实上,中国的财政刺激对所有这些国家的产出都产生了积极影响,同时也带来了通胀压力,主要是由中国不断增长的国内需求推动的。影响因国家和时间而异。
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Steerer of global economic growth: did China step in role during the 2007-08 Great Recession? Evidence from some East Asian economies
ABSTRACT In this paper, we investigate the impact of China’s fiscal stimulus on its major East Asian trading partners in the wake of the 2007–2008 world financial and economic crises, by estimating structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models with monthly data, spanning the 2000–2013 period, for four countries within the Asian Production Chain: Singapore, Malaysia, Korea, and the Philippines. In fact, China’s fiscal stimulus has had positive effects on output in all those countries coupled with an inflationary pressure, mostly fueled by the increasing domestic demand in China. The effects vary between countries and time horizons.
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CiteScore
5.60
自引率
3.00%
发文量
20
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