网格-均匀Copula和矩形交换:一类丰富Copula函数的贝叶斯模型和推理

IF 5.4 3区 材料科学 Q2 CHEMISTRY, PHYSICAL ACS Applied Energy Materials Pub Date : 2021-09-08 DOI:10.1214/23-ba1396
Nicol'as Kuschinski, A. Jara
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引用次数: 0

摘要

基于Copula的模型在建模多变量分布时提供了很大的灵活性,允许将边际分布的模型规范与关联结构(Copula)分开,该依赖结构将它们连接起来以形成联合分布。选择一类copula模型不是一项简单的任务,其指定错误可能会导致错误的结论。我们引入了一类新的网格一致copula函数,它在Hellinger意义上的所有连续copula函数的空间中是稠密的。我们提出了一个基于这类的贝叶斯模型,并开发了一个自动马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗算法来探索相应的后验分布。该方法通过模拟数据进行了说明,并与现有的主要方法进行了比较。
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Grid-Uniform Copulas and Rectangle Exchanges: Bayesian Model and Inference for a Rich Class of Copula Functions
Copula-based models provide a great deal of flexibility in modelling multivariate distributions, allowing for the specifications of models for the marginal distributions separately from the dependence structure (copula) that links them to form a joint distribution. Choosing a class of copula models is not a trivial task and its misspecification can lead to wrong conclusions. We introduce a novel class of grid-uniform copula functions, which is dense in the space of all continuous copula functions in a Hellinger sense. We propose a Bayesian model based on this class and develop an automatic Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for exploring the corresponding posterior distribution. The methodology is illustrated by means of simulated data and compared to the main existing approach.
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来源期刊
ACS Applied Energy Materials
ACS Applied Energy Materials Materials Science-Materials Chemistry
CiteScore
10.30
自引率
6.20%
发文量
1368
期刊介绍: ACS Applied Energy Materials is an interdisciplinary journal publishing original research covering all aspects of materials, engineering, chemistry, physics and biology relevant to energy conversion and storage. The journal is devoted to reports of new and original experimental and theoretical research of an applied nature that integrate knowledge in the areas of materials, engineering, physics, bioscience, and chemistry into important energy applications.
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