为什么全球经济衰退后芬兰的生育率一直在下降?

H. Hiilamo
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引用次数: 6

摘要

自2010年以来,经济和就业的稳步改善并没有阻止芬兰总生育率的下降。生育率的下降现在包括了该国几乎所有年龄和教育阶层的妇女。这种下降持续了足够长的时间,也表明已完成的生育率急剧下降,这与几十年来持续的已完成生育率水平背道而驰。从一系列公开可用的描述性数据中,本文评估了新旧生育理论在解释这一发展方面的相关程度。综上所述,芬兰的生育率发展令人惊讶,并对传统的从经济和性别角度分析生育率的理论提出了挑战。社会互动理论更有希望。然而,很难找到能够阐明社会交往在生育率下降中的作用的数据来源。在有更详细的证据和对芬兰生育率下降的主要驱动因素的理解之前,设计亲生育政策是具有挑战性的。
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Why fertility has been declining in Finland after the Global Recession?
A steady improvement in the economy and employment since 2010 did not stop the drop in total fertility rate in Finland. Declining fertility now includes women in almost all age and educational groups in the country. This decline has continued long enough to also indicate a dramatic decrease in completed fertility, which is a departure from decades of sustained levels of completed fertility. Drawing from a range of publicly available descriptive data, this article assesses the extent to which old and new theories of fertility are relevant in explaining this development. In conclusion, the fertility development in Finland is surprising, and challenges traditional theories on fertility, which analyse fertility from economic and gender perspectives. Social interaction theory holds more promise. However, it is very difficult to find data sources which could elucidate the role of social interaction in the fertility decline. Designing pro-natalistic policies is challenging before there is more detailed evidence and understanding concerning the key drivers of the fertility decline in Finland.
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7
审稿时长
34 weeks
期刊最新文献
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